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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (25500)9/10/1999 4:25:00 PM
From: HighTech  Respond to of 99985
 
Since March 10, the day QQQ began trading, the following
indexes are up:

Dow +13.77%
Naz +20.64
Naz100 +24.94
Oex +11.19
Rut +10.47
Spx + 5.61
Xlk +23.90
QQQ +23.84
VLIC + 7.15(Value Line)

HiTech



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (25500)9/10/1999 4:25:00 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 99985
 
Why didn't you tell me! LOL

Well I was up 400% the last 3 weeks but today I just lost it all and then some on a stupid rule break. Never trade the first hour, I know that, you know that, we all know that. Bought OEZIE with the full wad afraid to miss the rally and though I didn't buy at the high, it was close enough. Put in 7 sell orders during the day to minimize damage but the pit wouldn't hear of it. <ng>

Finally managed to sell half at a decent sized loss then bought back in averaging down expecting the J6P closing rally... We didn't get it as you know. Took an additional hit on those plus the original and sold at the close for a HUGE loss.

Going back over the day in my mind, a few lessons learned.

1. Don't trade the first 1/2 hour to hour NO EXCEPTIONS!!!

2. Take the immediate loss when it turns against you (I did try but when I couldn't get filled, I held instead of going to lower ask)

3. When formations are broken, get out fast. (ascending traingle this morning broke down near the end of the day.

4. Never average down a loser. take the loss and then move on

5. Never trade while on pain killers <ggg>

6. Take the loss on the close and go flat over the weekend to think about it. Especially with options as these would have lost half their premium value just by waiting till Monday.

Good Luck, (here is to hoping for a BIG winner Monday as I start over,

EDIT - Not looking for pity but trying to educate the lurkers. We all think we are superman sometimes and the wins the last couple weeks were getting too easy, This was the dose of reality)

Lee



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (25500)9/10/1999 5:27:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Don, FWIW, i am playing it. my guts said not to,

Heinz, FWIW i am too -g-

Chicken Chart
bway.net

it has rolled over yet, but i believe that techs will run into resistance in this area, i sold my longs today and bought a 1/3 position in uspix at todays close.

XAU has an interesting looking triangular development.

bb



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (25500)9/10/1999 5:48:00 PM
From: KM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
One trader's opinion:

***************************************************************
"This morning's number was huge, people don't realize how" important, said one New York-based trader of the core PPI. "This is probably going to keep the Fed from acting in October. This, plus last Friday's employment report."

So confident of the forecast is the trader, his desk "covered shorts and went long" after an initial rise got "whacked down on no volume."

Like most on Wall Street, the trader, who requested anonymity, dismissed the higher-than-expected headline figure and its underlying cause, higher crude prices.

"That's what the bond is showing you," he said. "It blew off oil like it was nothing. Oil at $23? I'd be a short-seller here."

thestreet.com