SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Phoenix who wrote (33812)9/11/1999 10:23:00 AM
From: Bruce L  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 45548
 
<<So my new mantra for COMS is - DO SOMETHING! >>

Gary: One of your finest posts. I was literally LOL. I agree. There are many things COMS can do to kick-start its stock, probably including firing Eric B, unfair though that might be IMO.

As you know, you and I have a fundamental difference of opinion on COMS: you believe that COMS has screwed up in the past but is undervalued based on its potential; I believe that COMS has actually done quite well under the circumstances, that it is grossly undervalued, but that it is being unfairly compared against CSCO, one of the most successful stocks of all time.

You can legitimately point to COMS' stock chart to buttress your viewpoint. Quite candidly, it sucks. But what other network stock in the past 2 years has done well against CSCO? CS was truly mismanaged and is only moving because of takeover speculation. Not NN. Not BAY before it was taken over. Money was made in ASND before it was taken over by LU, but ASND lucked out when it swallowed Cascade, and without it, would IMO have been dust. Even FORE - before it was swallowed - was struggling badly, this despite having the best ATM technolgy by far.

At times, the stock market is a very inefficient pricing mechanism IMO. It has become - especially for the small and mid-caps - too short term oriented, and it can go way overboard in punishing a company for phenomena outside its control. Some tech companies are very cyclical - the semis and chip equipment companies come to mind - and the swings in their stock price have nothing to do with either their technical innovation or the competence of their executives.

One stock I'm currently very proud of - because its a 4 bagger for me in the last 5 months - is MRVC, a small dynamic networker. Until August l998, it had had 34 consecutive quarters of increasing earnings. Then heavy competition in its principle LAN product line (they became a "commodity") and a pre-announcement of a 10% drop in earnings (!!)knocked off two thirds of its market value in a single day. For 8 months, the stock languished around $6, well below book value. For 8 months the market ignored the potential of this company which was obvious to anyone who wanted to really look. Yesterday the stock of MRVC closed at 24 11/16.

I believe that eventually the market will wake up to the potential of COMS REGARDLESS of takeovers or takeover speculation. As a somewhat technical trader, in the past two years I've traded in and out of COMS. Now, like MA, I am starting to heavily re-position myself in it.

Like you say, there is little downside risk with a great deal of upside potential. The kind of investment I like in the "bubble"type market we are in.

Bruce



To: The Phoenix who wrote (33812)9/11/1999 11:05:00 AM
From: Gary Korn  Respond to of 45548
 
Sell the modem business - stock goes up!
Sell the NIC's - stock goes up!
Sell 'em both - stock goes up!
Spin off PALM - we get PALM shares - valuations go up!
Sell networking to LU - Stock goes up!
Sell the entire mess - We're worth more!
Shoot the BOD - stock will go up!
Take out Eric too - Stock goes up!

. . . SO my new mantra for COMS - DO SOMETHING!


Gary,

Excellent post. You've set forth the reasons why I got into COMS a week or two ago:

I assume that management is under pressure from institutional holders to realize shareholder value.

I don't trust management to do the correct thing, but pretty much any of the options that they might choose should pay off.

At 23ish (or even 27ish now), there doesn't seem to be terribly much risk in waiting to see what it is that they do.

Gary Korn