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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: james paterson who wrote (67751)9/15/1999 4:45:00 PM
From: BSGrinder  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 132070
 
Congratulations on your put purchases. Perhaps Cramer is ringing a bell at the top for semis. The column that follows came out last night. It is funny that he doesn't make a simple logical connection, namely, if all portfolio managers are in semis, who is left to buy? /Kit

Congregation Swells for Semiconductors
By James J. Cramer

9/14/99 9:57 PM ET

How many portfolio managers can you fit into the semiconductor stocks? After today, I would have to say all of them.

We only have a couple of weeks left until the end of the quarter. The action in the semis on a down-120 Dow points day shows me that between now and the end of the quarter you are increasingly unlikely to see any sort of selloff in these names.

In fact, if mutual fund history is any guide, every short-term decline in this group for the next two weeks will have to be bought.

I know I sorely miss my Micron (MU:NYSE). We sold it up four. Thought we had a good one going. Now it is up another five. We are down to tag-ends in our Texas Instruments (TXN:NYSE). I want to rebuild that one. And what the heck, where did all of our Analog Devices (ADI:NYSE) and LSI (LSI:NYSE) go?

In the odd world that is institutional investing, if you don't own some of these stocks at the end of the quarter, you are going to have to answer some tough questions. Whenever a group so outperforms its peers, whether it be biotech, or the Net, or oil service, you will have individuals, including trustees asking why you had nothing in a group that seemed so obvious to everyone, including themselves.

That's why, when I was out of pocket after the close, I was gratified to hear that some people weren't too keen on Oracle's (ORCL:Nasdaq) numbers. My first reaction to Jeff Berkowitz, when he filled me in, was "Oh boy, another chance to scoop up some chips."

Wall Street isn't like Hollywood or baseball. You can't overexpose yourself. You can start every game with the semis.

Hey, maybe the Consumer Price Index will disappoint and I can get my Micron back! What a group!!



To: james paterson who wrote (67751)9/16/1999 1:18:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Respond to of 132070
 
James, It isn't worth it to me with my money mgt. system, but if you play closer to the vest, it may be.