Gross Sales - Quarter One - 2000
Q1-2000 Gross Sales
The $ by area are my best guess. They are *not* reported numbers by CLZR.
The second column represents my estimate of what revenues might be for Q1. They were extremely aggressive.
CLZR runs on a SEASONALIZE BASIS with Q1 being the WEAKEST and Q4 being the STRONGEST. The *reason* for the seasonality comes about because most doctors (the buyers) are on vacations or trips during the summer months.
CLZR has a *monopoly* with respect to regular doctors. Using PSS as its Sales Agent, CLZR is now calling on almost 200,000 regular physicians and offering them the GentleLASE. The *reason* this product is so hot with regular physicians (see below) is because medical payments come directly from the patient.
($)........2000A.....2000F.....1999A........+/<>.........+/<> ------------------------------------------------------------- USA.......8,330.....9,915.....4,820.......<1,585>.......3,510 Foreign...7,710.....8,810.....5,918.......<1,100>.......1,792 ------------------------------------------------------------- Total....16,040....18,725....10,738.......<2,685>.......5,302 =============================================================
($ Ctry)..2000A.....2000F.....1999A........+/<>..........+/<> ------------------------------------------------------------- USA.......8,330.....9,915.....4,820.......<1,585>.......3,510 Japan.....4,730.....5,630.....3,215.......<0,900>.......1,515 Europe....2,690.....2,400.....2,625........0,290........0,065 Brazil....0,210.....0,700.....0,000.......<0,490>.......0,210 Bangkok...0,000.....0,000.....0,000........0,000........0,000 Other.....0,080.....0,080.....0,078........0,000........0,002 ------------------------------------------------------------- Foreign...7,710.....8,810.....5,918.......<1,100>.......1,792 ------------------------------------------------------------- Total....16,040....18,725....10,738.......<2,685>.......5,302 =============================================================
($ USA Detail).............................+/<>..........+/<> ------------------------------------------------------------- USA-Regular..................................390..........716 USA-PSSI..................................<1,800>.......2,500 USA-Electrologists........................<0,130>.........210 USA-SPA...................................<0,045>..........84 ------------------------------------------------------------- USA Variance by Detail....................<1,585>.......3,510 =============================================================
($ Foreign Detail).........................+/<>..........+/<> ------------------------------------------------------------- Japan-Regular.............................<0,400>........500 Japan-Osaka...............................<0,500>......1,000 Japan-Service..............................0,000..........15 Europe-Regular...............................290.........<35> Europe-Service.............................0,000.........100 Brazil-Regular............................<0,490>......0,210 Bangkok-Regular............................0,000.......0,000 Other-Regular..............................0,000.......0,002 ------------------------------------------------------------ Foreign Variance by Detail................<1,100>......1,792 =============================================================
(% Mix)....2000A.....2000F.....1999A... -------------------------------------- USA.........52.........53.......45.... Foreign.....48.........47.......55.... -------------------------------------- Total......100........100......100.... ================================================
(% Change)2000A.....2000F.....1999A.........+/<>.........+/<> ------------------------------------------------------------- USA.......8,330.....9,915.....4,820........<16%>..........73% Foreign...7,710.....8,810.....5,918........<12%>..........30% ------------------------------------------------------------- Total....16,040....18,725....10,738........<14%>..........49% =============================================================
PSS - Inception To Date Revenues -------------------------------- Q3A-1999 $1.2 million (17 equiv GentleLASE) Q4A-1999 $2.5 million (36 equiv GentleLASE) ------------------------------------------------------------ Yr-1999 $3.7 million (53 equiv GentleLASE) ============================================================= Q1A-2000 $2.5 million (36 equiv GentleLASE) Q2F-2000 $3.0 million (42 equiv GentleLASE) - Projection Q3F-2000 $3.5 million (50 equiv GentleLASE) - Projection Q4F-2000 $4.0 million (57 equiv GentleLASE) - Projection ------------------------------------------------------------ Yr-2000 $13.0 million (185 equiv GentleLASE) - Act+Proj ============================================================= Incepti $16.7 million (238 equiv GentleLASE) - Act+Proj =============================================================
$13.0 million is worst case $.
I figure 10 GL's *each* state and the PSS doctors capitulate and *call* PSS.
I figure 200 GL's *each* state and the price to the consumers for a procedure FALLS dramatically.
regards, John McCarthy |