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To: pat mudge who wrote (13437)9/25/1999 12:13:00 AM
From: Glenn McDougall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
*****OT*****

Wrong! Dispatches from the Front: Betting on a Bluff From Shoe-Box
Steve

By James J. Cramer

9/24/99 5:19 PM ET

We used to play a lot of poker at The Harvard Crimson in the 1970s,
particularly those of us who worked there during the summer. None of us
had a lot of money. Almost all the money I had came from delivering the
darned paper after I had taken it off the press. What a thankless job
that was, although it was a sure cure for insomnia.

What I remember most about those games was "Shoe-Box Steve." Yep, every
game we played, Steve Ballmer, now president of Microsoft
(MSFT:Nasdaq), then general manager of the Crimson (I was the
president), would bring this shoe box full of nickels and dimes to bet
with. It was always unnerving because Ballmer was a superior bluffer
and you could never tell from the stupid shoe box how much money he had
left. Was is 10 bucks? Was it $30? Was it $4?

Nobody could bluff like that guy.

I see nothing has changed in the last 20 years. Ballmer's still
bluffing when he sees fit. His "tech stocks are overvalued" gambit no
doubt suited some need he has, a need we saw often in the days of
Shoe-Box Steve.

I've always loved the guy, but I know to take what he says with a grain
of salt. It is what he does -- which is to hold on to as much Microsoft
as humanly possible -- that matters to me. That's been Shoe-Box Steve's
most important tell.

I bought some 'Soft today. I think he's bluffing again.

********

James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and co-founder of
TheStreet.com. At time of publication, his fund was long Microsoft. His
fund often buys and sells securities that are the subject of his
columns, both before and after the columns are published, and the
positions that his fund takes may change at any time. Under no
circumstances does the information in this column represent a
recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Cramer's writings provide
insights into the dynamics of money management and are not a
solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide investment
advice or recommendations, he invites you to comment on his column at
jjcletters@thestreet.com.