To: Jeff Dryer who wrote (12388 ) 9/25/1999 4:39:00 PM From: Cheeky Kid Respond to of 28311
>In the 1970s the world was supposedly running out of oil. Virtually every economist predicted that the end of an era was at hand. The industrial nations would have to tighten their belts, garage their cars, turn off their air conditioners, and generally adjust to lower standards of living. Today, oil prices (adjusted for inflation) are lower than they have been at any time since the 1960s. (Indeed, in terms of productivity--for example, how far a dollar's worth of gasoline will take you--prices are lower than they've ever been.) What happened? What proved the economists wrong in their prediction? Through the magic of technology, we developed better methods of producing energy and more efficient ways of using it. By replacing $300 carburetors with $25 computerized fuel injectors, automobile manufacturers doubled the fuel efficiency of new cars. This effectively doubled the supply of gasoline, thus effectively increasing the supposedly fixed supply of oil. At the same time, we also began developing entirely new energy sources, next to which the breakthroughs of the last decade will pale by comparison. Our ability to transform the raw materials of nature into the most elegant and sophisticated devices imaginable--to "make computers from dirt," as the mathematician Mitchell Feigenbaum recently put it--has so dramatically altered the rules that we are playing an entirely new game. The most successful entrepreneurs of our time--H. Ross Perot, Sam Walton, Steve Jobs--have been playing this new game without necessarily understanding its principles. Indeed, without knowing it,our best and brightest investment bankers, for example, have been proving the fundamental alchemic notion that resources are less important than technology; or, to put it in financial terms, that fixed physical assets are less important than intellectual assets. < Paul Zane Pilzer - Unlimited Wealth Book:amazon.com Tape:amazon.com - - - - - - - - - - - - - - How do you value Net stocks? I don't know, but I find reading / following intelligent, if not revolutionary people, like Paul Zane Pilzer, James Dines, I have a completely different outlook. The Internet will continue to grow at a dizzying pace. I remember a few years back, doomers were predicting the death of the Internet as increasing growth would make it grind to a halt. At that time a fast Internet connection was 14.4, now I am using a cable modem, downloading 50MB programs in minutes. Companies are being forced to have a presence on the Internet, every radio or TV show about the Internet will enforce this. If you don't have an Internet address or e-mail address, it's going to be equivalent to not having a fax machine. There is only one growth pattern for the Internet, and that's up. It's not going to grow sideways like some stocks, the Internet is going to be dominated by companies. Like a gold mine, the more of that gold vein on your claim stake the richer you will be. The only thing different is we don't know how large the Internet will grow, so having a large piece of the pie (gold vein) is the best assurance you could ever hope to have. But I think everyone here knows this any ways.