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Pastimes : Let's Talk About Our Feelings!!! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Edwarda who wrote (56516)	9/30/1999 1:35:00 PM
From: epicure	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 108807

The possibility of explosion certainly exists. But North Korea could cave on its own- it has been seriously crippled by mismanagement. I know we don't have good intelligence on the country, but with the populace demoralized with famine, it wouldn't take much in terms of an internal event to push the country over the edge- toward a change of systems. But it could blow up- I agree. And I think the old guard see the change coming, they don't want it to come, but it looks as inevitable to them as it does to me (they know their country much better than I do- maybe change is coming even faster than I think it is- information is pouring across China, and information is democratizing- so they are awash right now in a soup of liberalizing forces). Taiwan is a straw in the wind for the old guard to grasp at- to focus on, but it is not I think ultimately important. Of course if WW3 starts over Taiwan I will admit I was wrong.