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To: James Strauss who wrote (5209)	10/3/1999 2:20:00 AM
From: donald sew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 13094

James, >>>> Joe Granville Says Crash Coming Within 10 Days... <<<< Although I am bearish right now, it is just hard for me to accept crash prediction in either direction. My position is that the statistical probability of calling huge moves is at best 62%. It appears, from what I remember is that GRANDVILLE has be right as often as he has been wrong with predict the huge move. Frankly speaking, being able to call the huge move 50% of the time is actually an accomplishment, although most wont look at it that way. Calling the huge move/major reversal point is far harder than calling short-term moves. Seeya