SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Barrick Gold (ABX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ForYourEyesOnly who wrote (1410)10/18/1999 8:31:00 AM
From: Enigma  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3558
 
Why don't you try - or do your homework - or call the company - or read their press release with the Q3 earnings -and stop posting innuendo?



To: ForYourEyesOnly who wrote (1410)10/18/1999 6:18:00 PM
From: Investor-ex!  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3558
 
Hi THC,

I think the margin call would be US$0.00.

According to Barrick's last conference call, they have the option, at their sole discretion, to convert their written calls to spot-deferred forwards.

Later on in the conference call, they said they would experience a slight increase in margin at prices above $600/oz, but this would be insignificant in relation to the increase in cashflow from their unhedged annual production at the higher prices.

I know a lot of people out there hate Barrick, for a variety of reasons, and I'm not too happy with them myself. They're well-positioned for a stagnant/trading market, but not for a sudden turn-around/bull market. That's the price of a hedge.

At this point, what with the clarification in ECB policy, I would very much like to see Barrick cover the 4 million ozs in calls, reducing their total hedge allotments by at least a third (6 million ozs), or preferably by half (9 million ozs), within the next year or so.

I believe Barrick is slated to produce in excess of 3 million oz per year. If one were to spread their current forward commitments out evenly over the forward period, that amounts to a bit over 1 million ozs per year.

In other words, by my calculation and with what is publicly known, Barrick has about two-thirds of its production free to participate to any upside per annum. Not as much bang for the buck as a totally unhedged producer, but not exactly chicken feed either.