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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: HairBall who wrote (30889)	10/21/1999 10:48:00 PM
From: Vitas	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Larry, the percentage of stocks over their 200 day moving average chart shows 4 four year cycle corrections, 1987, 1990, 1994, and 1998. 1987, 1990, and 1998 were bear markets in the sense that the indices lost 20% or more in value. These corrections/bear markets are clearly defined by the fact that they dropped below the 30% mark. decisionpoint.com The charts of the percentage of stocks over their 200 day moving average from a real bear market such as 1973 - 1974 are not available at the Decision Point site, but you can approximate them by looking at the 1% ema of advance declines. They track fairly closely - the break of -40 in the 1% ema seems to equate to a break of 30 in the percentage over 200 day moving average. decisionpoint.com So now you have me intrigued - what are you looking at that leads you to believe we are in for a real bear market? Vitas