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Non-Tech : Tyco International Limited (TYC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Director who wrote (312)10/21/1999 6:41:00 PM
From: KAF  Respond to of 3770
 
21 Oct 15:50



Bear Stearns analyst Inch noted Tyco had indicated before Thursday's results
that it was likely to beat analysts' estimates. So the better-than-expected
fiscal fourth-quarter results announced Thursday may already have been taken
into account in the stock price.

They were "very robust results, in keeping with the Tyco tradition," Inch
said. "I think it was a very solid, exceptional quarter. All of the trend items
were moving in the right direction."

He believes analysts estimates for 2000 are likely to move up "probably on the
order of 5 cents," he said. If that happens, it would raise the First
Call/Thomson Financial consensus estimate to about $4.21 a share from the
current level of $4.16 a share for 2000. "I'm at $4.20," Inch said. "I'm
certainly looking to put them closer to $4.25."

Credit Lyonnais analyst Amaturo doesn't think estimates will be revised
significantly, but he is bullish on the stock because he thinks the price has
been depressed by accounting concerns. "The multiple's pretty low on 2000
numbers," he said. With earnings of $4.16 expected for 2000, and a stock price
of about 86, the price-to-earnings multiple is about 21. But since earnings per
share are expected to grow 36% next year, he thinks a "fairer multiple is
probably in the very high 20s to 30." He has a $130 price target for the stock.

Amaturo is not alone in liking the stock. In a daily tabulation of the highest
and lowest-ranked stocks in the diversified industries category, Tyco ranked the
highest on Thursday, according to surveys of analysts by First Call.

Management, Amaturo said, "is on the up and up. This is a first-class
management team. They always beat expectations."

Merrill Lynch's Young said he has followed the company for 10 years and it has
always been conservative and done nothing to raise suspicion. "It's a very
strong company. They like to buy undermanaged companies," he said.

Tyco has four units - telecommunications and electronics, fire and security
services, health care and specialty products, and flow-control products.
-Tom Locke; Dow Jones Newswires; 303-293-9294



To: Director who wrote (312)10/21/1999 6:44:00 PM
From: KAF  Respond to of 3770
 
21 Oct 15:18



By Tom Locke


DENVER (Dow Jones)--Tyco International Ltd.'s (TYC) fiscal fourth-quarter
results announced Thursday were strong, analysts said.

The Hamilton, Bermuda, diversified manufacturing and service company reported
per-share earnings, before extraordinary items, of 92 cents, on sales of $6.22
billion, for the fiscal fourth quarter ended Sept. 30. That compares with
earnings of 25 cents a share on sales of $5.11 billion for the year-ago quarter.

"Tyco International had a great quarter - high-quality earnings with very
strong free-cash-flow generation," said Merrill Lynch analyst Phua Young. "It
looks like there was strength across the board. Good internal growth. And we
continue to like the stock."

One factor making the earnings look so much better in this year's fiscal
fourth quarter than last year's fiscal fourth quarter was the restatement of
results in last year's fourth quarter to include the pooling-of-interests
acquisitions of U.S. Surgical Corp. (in mid-1998) and AMP Inc. (in April), said
Young. The poorer pre-acquisition performance of those companies was
incorporated into Tyco's year-ago restated results.

But per-share earnings also looked good compared with the First Call/Thomson
Financial consensus estimate of 89 cents for the quarter, beating the consensus
by three cents a share.

That was largely because profit margins in the company's telecommunications
and electronics unit came in ahead of expectations, said Young and Credit
Lyonnais Securities analyst Joseph Amaturo.

"One of the more compelling issues is the telecom and electronics segment
profit margin coming in so nicely," Amaturo said. Tyco reported a 22.9% profit
margin in that segment, said Amaturo, compared with his expectations of margins
in the "high 19s."

Young said the most important aspect of the results were free cash flow of
more than $900 million for the quarter, which was a record. "The key thing is
that the cash was there," Young said. "The cash is there to back up the
earnings. That should give investors confidence that the earnings are of high
quality."

Young was referring to doubts that have been raised about whether Tyco's
accounting has artificially inflated its earnings. But all three analysts
contacted by Dow Jones Newswires said that they don't believe there are any
irregularities in Tyco's accounting practices.

Tyco's stock has taken a beating since Oct. 13, largely because of investor
concerns about the company's accounting practices after they were questioned in
a report by Albert Meyer, of the Dallas investment firm of David W. Tice
Associates.

"I firmly believe Tyco's accounting is completely above-board," said Bear
Stearns analyst John Inch. "We have gone through their numbers with a fine-tooth
comb."

Nevertheless, Inch thinks investor uncertainty is still hurting the stock's
price. Tyco shares closed at 103 3/8 on Oct. 12. They were recently trading down
2 3/8, or 2.7%, at 86, on volume of 5.5 million shares compared with average
daily volume of 3.8 million shares.

Young said the stock drop Thursday might be attributed to the drop in the
market as a whole as well as possible continued moves by portfolio managers to
be prudent in light of the accounting concerns. He also noted the stock traded
up Wednesday, when it rose 4.6%, probably in anticipation of a favorable
earnings release Thursday.

Tyco senior vice president J. Brad McGee couldn't be reached for comment.

(MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 10-21-99

03:18 PM




To: Director who wrote (312)10/21/1999 8:47:00 PM
From: Tatnic  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3770
 
I don't have a position in this now, but I do see the near-term resistance of 90. If TYC can blow thru this (and stay above it) it should be fine. If it hits it and drops off a few times, then that tells me there is still no confidence in the company.