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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (38470)10/23/1999 9:13:00 PM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
It's still hard to believe they have a live P/C ratio.

I would think, perhaps, that it's a volume ratio. For example, if I bought a thousand puts @ 685 but sold 500 at 680 they would think that the ratio is skewed by 500 contracts.

How could you really tell what the ratio is....if I'm a spread or (what's that word......) ratio backspread. That's the word.

I think.

If I'm Selling one and Buying three it confounds and confuses the numbers.

Anyway, I follow the logic behind contrarian trading but sometimes it just does not work. Sophisticated Short Sellers are not in that bracket, I do not think. So the question is, is it Joe Six Pack who is buying the puts.

Anyway, my focus tonight is on the World Series. I cannot believe these Met Fans I speak with. Not to dis the Braves....the Braves were the team to beat over the Mets. But most Yank fans wanted the Mets to win.

Now you can't find a Met fan in ten that isn't rooting for the Braves. Chipper Jones and all, the Met fans just ....well.

Okay. I have to go back to the television. I'm too caught up at the moment.

EDIT

You know what? I know some ex pit traders. I don't think the futures dropped because they were looking at the P/C/ ratio. I don't think the Futures traders, under the gun, are watching the P/C ratio. That's a real short term analysis of course.



To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (38470)10/23/1999 9:27:00 PM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
Hypothetical question

I'm Long a thousand Puts on the OEX.

I put 500 out at X Dollars.

You buy 'em.

The net O.I. does not change, but your data provider "sees" 500 going over to the dark side.

Isn't that what the data is showing?