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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: George Wu who wrote (28838)10/25/1999 7:04:00 AM
From: Zoltan!  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77400
 
State of the Web:
Cerent Gains Stature in
the Shade of the
Sycamore IPO

By James J. Cramer

10/24/99 6:25 PM ET

I come to praise Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq), not bury it
like the jackals tried to on Friday. When Cisco
bought Cerent a few months ago for billions of
dollars, it seemed completely absurd. I know we
initially sold some Cisco on this acquisition. We
couldn't figure it out. How in the heck could Cisco
explain away that dilution? Had they lost their
minds?

Now it looks like we, the sellers, had lost our
minds. Cerent competes in the world with
Sycamore (SCMR:Nasdaq), Friday's monster-big
IPO. It would have been valued like Sycamore,
maybe even higher, most likely north of 10 billion, if
it had been brought public. That means that had
Cisco waited until Cerent was a public company to
make a tender offer, it would probably have had to
pay up, at least by a 30% premium. So, instead of
moronically paying $7 billion for some little
company, Cisco may have saved $6 billion by
striking when it did.

We all know that Cisco
is an amazingly well-run
company. (Oh, as an
aside, understand that I
am a commentator
here, not a reporter. I admit my bias, just like a
William Safire or Bill O'Reilly admits his bias. I
am long Cisco and I like Cisco. I like it because it is
well run and because it has made me a lot of
money. If you think that is wrong, you have been
brainwashed by those who think that it is wrong to
talk your position. People talk their positions
everyday. The difference between them and me is
that I disclose!) Cisco dominates the plumbing
infrastructure for the Net.

This acquisition shows me that Cisco even
understands the wacky way we, on Wall Street,
value Web infrastructure equipment plays. I am sure
that someone in Cisco said, "You know we can't
pay up because the stock market is absurdly
valuing these things." And I bet that John Chambers
said, "That's what Time Warner (TWX:NYSE) said
about Yahoo! (YHOO:Nasdaq). That's what Disney
(DIS:NYSE) said about America Online
(AOL:NYSE). And now look, they have been
passed by Yahoo and AOL. We can't have that
happen here. We have to accept the stock market's
valuation methods as a way of life."

Most American companies of the bricks-and-mortar
variety play this naysayer game and they have been
blasted alive for it. Cisco didn't. That's why it's a
winner. That's why I hope short-selling scummers
keep calling Maria Bartiromo with rumors of an
imminent pre-announcement of bad earnings. So, I
can buy more of this company at prices that are
even better than I would get otherwise.

Random musings: We are going to be adding
Sycamore shortly to the index of Red Hots. It
wouldn't be red hot without Sycamore's admission
to the ranks.
thestreet.com



To: George Wu who wrote (28838)10/25/1999 2:34:00 PM
From: Lynn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Since you mention JNPR, are you or is anyone familiar with FDRY (Foundry Networks)? While over at ML's site earlier today while looking for research on CSCO, I saw that ML initiated coverage of FDRY today with an intermediate term accumulate and long term buy. FDRY competes against CSCO but ML does not see a real problem here because they do not compete in exactly the same space.

Although a CSCO shareholder, I am not interested in buying more shares. Always on the lookout for something new of interest, however, I was hoping someone here would have some knowledge of FDRY--better place to ask than on the FDRY thread, where people have a vested interest in making a stock they already have money in sound like the best thing since sliced bread.

Lynn