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To: Amir Shalit who wrote (69782)10/29/1999 5:06:00 PM
From: Alohal  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 132070
 
So if you had gone long the Dow index you would have seen a 77% return since then. If you had held your fear less closely and gone long the Naz index your return since April 97 (2.5 years) would be 247% as of today. Now if you had really had vision and gone long the top dozen or so large cap tech stocks, your return would be somewhere in the neighborhood of 500-600% to date. Hmmmm. New pair of dimes??
Cheers
Alohal



To: Amir Shalit who wrote (69782)10/29/1999 8:41:00 PM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Amir,

I like that strategy except that it doesn't fit my circumstances.

I own several stocks in which I have enormous capital gains due to their excellent performance and the length of time I have held them.

I am comfortable with their prices and their ability to ultimately survive anything that hits them, so I really don't want to sell. I also don't want to sell because I'd have to send 1/3 to various levels of government.

However, they represent such an enormous percentage of my net worth, I am uncomfortable holding that much in equities given my view that it is also highly likely that the US is in a dangerous credit and asset bubble whose bursting and implications no one can time or measure with any degree of certainty.

That has caused me to develop hedging strategies that require a lot of time and energy and so far have cost me money. It's an emotional drain that I am tiring of.

Wayne



To: Amir Shalit who wrote (69782)10/30/1999 6:13:00 AM
From: nihil  Respond to of 132070
 
You've lost an enormous amount of potential winnings from your fears.
You ought to split your stake and play one hald bull one half bear.