To: Dennis V. who wrote (15978 ) 11/11/1999 9:26:00 PM From: John Curtis Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27311
Dennis, et.al.: Interesting conference call, now that I've had time to listen to it. Very interesting, with lot's of positives and a couple of laptop comments which had me rethinking an earlier, more pessimistic conclusion. Clearly with VLNC underway it now becomes the Sales V.P.'s responsibility to keep bringing home the bacon by increasing sales as rapidly as possible, and the head of manufacturing's job to support sales by keeping the build-out moving apace. So it goes. Been here a wee few times with other speculations and it's a great feeling to see an equity you've been following for a time surmount a significant obstacle. I rate VLNC's probability of success at this point at 98%, barring an act of God, of course. With regard to the short coalition, who by today's actions are obviously still a force to contend with, I submit that just as there's a cadre of professionals who look for good, "diamond in the rough" long term bullish plays, so too there resides in the market that certain cadre of professionals who look for the "fish in a barrel". Now don't think by this comment that I'm referring to the more obvious of those out there on the threads. My take on them is they're the amateurish top 5% of the group playing this game. Just as most of we bull's who post are the amateurish top percentile of the pro's playing the long position. The ones you cannot see, who compose the other 95% of the "iceberg", and who will also never be heard from as it violates one of their prime tenants, and that is, to remain invisible, are the market pro's. Those folks have been using the floor-less convertible instrument as their personal risk-free ROI "sink" for as long as the instrument has been available, and others have obviously latched onto it as a style which suits them best. So it goes...it takes all kinds to make a market. You may not like their style. You may not like the manner in which they reap their profits. You may even think it's at some fundamental level basically a conflict of interest and should thus be considered illegal. But it's not. It's a part of the game, and it and it's proponents should be well understood like any poker playing analysis you might conduct. This time their game may not have played out as they originally predicted, even though they've made a goodly chunk of coinage. But they're still here, although I'm sure the pro's may be now trying to extricate themselves from a play gone bad. Bottom line? Trading in VLNC will most likely remain volatile, and over the short haul(no pun intended, heh), unpredictable. But longer term the game is up as VLNC is now an infant commercial enterprise with all which that entails for the year to come(oh..this is all imho, of course). Now...about that SECOND p.o.! HEH! Regards! John~