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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Matthew L. Jones who wrote (39969)11/17/1999 8:19:00 PM
From: F Robert Simms  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
Thanks for such a detailed response.

<As for today, the odds in favor of another up day (or today being the second consecutive day in the same direction) was nearly even odds (1.12:1 in favor and 0.89:1 against) >
I am confused about the above statement. If today would have been the second up day if it was up and the odds were 1.12:1 in favor, then what do you mean by yesterday being a day 1 having a 3.67:1 odds? Yesterday would have been the second day of a downtrend and I read the odds of it as being 1.12:1 in being a downtrend day. How can it also be a 3.67:1 odds day of being a first day of an uptrend? I hope I am not being too much of a pest, but I am trying to learn. Thanks again for your efforts.
Best Wishes,
Bob