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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (55340)	11/24/1999 8:54:00 PM
From: Roebear	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 95453

John Q Public, You are asking a question which is at the basis of weather itself, the interaction of the sun (not SUV's, well, maybe! VBG) providing heat and wind and ocean distributing it. It's more a question of where the heat goes than where it comes from. In any case I am not qualified to give you a proper answer. I will say that a weak La Nina is as good or better than a strong La Nina for a cold east coast winter. More important are the other weather patterns that interact with it, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (similar to a Bermuda high, but with opposite effect and different location and mechanics). The NAO has turned against a cold winter for now, but it oscillates and it is the net of the oscillation that matters, much like the zigs and zags on a chart and its trend. Another week of positive NAO and my hopes for a white Christmas (and icing on the Boom 2K cake) begin to fade. Much too early for a dismal forecast for the whole winter, as I have said, La Nina winters are known for their extreme swings. I have to attend to some other things, I will get back to you later. BTW, you will notice this last warm spell came as the NAO turned positive, re my posts to that effect. Negative equals colder east coast. THINK NEGATIVE! VBG Roebear