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To: Beltropolis Boy who wrote (1834)12/14/1999 11:21:00 AM
From: DownSouth  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10934
 
I'm going out on a limb, here. I expect NTAP to split again, if this price holds, in the May/June timeframe. Then, if we run up past 100 again post split, we will split again next December.

NTAP does not like a price above 100 and it will need increasing liquidity.

BTW, I discovered that EXDS is an NTAP customer. There was some discussion of both customers on the G/K thread, and the question was raised there as a point of interest.



To: Beltropolis Boy who wrote (1834)12/16/1999 1:38:00 PM
From: pirate_200  Respond to of 10934
 
Chris, thanks for your response.

I listened to last quarter's CC again, the whole thing
is available on NetApp's website, and some of my
questions were answered there:

- Hardware roll won't happen till end of fiscal year,
which means the announcements, performance numbers
etc. won't be coming out till mid-spring, probably.

- The synchronous mirror? stuff sounds like it won't be
till the second half of 2000, but they say they will
be releasing bits and pieces over the year. Like
they had fibre channel available before clustering
came out, the foundations of synchronous stuff will
come out in tiers. Does that mean it is a software
and hardware solution?

- Sounds like the low-end cache device won't be till
the end of the fiscal year also. I thought they
said calendar year 2 CC's ago, but maybe I mis-
interpreted.

- Capacity will double by fiscal year end and will
double again in 2000!

Mendoza, the head of sales was extremely optimistic
about futures. I really liked his comment about EMC's
Celerra: "...if we lose a deal to the Celerra, we'll
have to talk to our salesperson, because they must be
doing something wrong." Paraphrasing, but it sounds
head-to-head, they win against Celerra.

They do differentiate between a Celerra and a Symmetrix,
but the Symmetrix is more very highend deals. To me
it is only 1/2 a solution because you still need a
"head" for the Symmetrix, either a Celerra or another
vendor's server to act as the host.

This is my big problem with EMC, they don't sell the
whole solution, only part of it. If NetApp and Brocade
use their collective talents to merge NAS and SAN, I
don't see how EMC can survive with their current business
model. Looks to me like they will have to dramatically
slash prices and mess up their whole margin structure.

I've heard people tout EMC saying NetApp's days are
numbered when EMC finally concentrates on it, I think the
opposite is true, EMC is much more vulnerable.