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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jack Jagernauth who wrote (9582)12/16/1999 1:35:00 AM
From: fuzzymath  Respond to of 18928
 
"Short-term" means days for most of my models. I use end-of-day prices for the NYSE Index. But, I do have one model that has a time span of weeks to months to years. And any time I write, either on the web site or here, I am cognizant of what that long-term model is saying, and that affects my interpretations of the current short-term conditions.

I think (I hope) you can now see all the models at my web site. Their links are on the left band on the main page (see my profile for the main page link).

My longest-term model went "non-bullish" at the beginning of 1998. So, you could say it correctly predicted last summer's disaster and the more or less consolidation that the NYSE Index has experienced since then.

Near term, I'm bullish because of my "January Effect" study (turns out that Nov-Jan are the best months by far for being in the market, based on the past 30 years of history).

Visit the site--it may inspire more questions. I think it's fully populated again, after my debacle with my server provider!

Kevin