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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (35503)12/20/1999 6:54:00 PM
From: Trumptown  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Watching rates closely...don't know if it's an over reaction to Nov retail sales upside surprise (isn't that seasonal...like Christmas shopping?)...or something else brewing...

SR



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (35503)12/20/1999 7:02:00 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
thin market

economeister.com

if we had stock traders over there, they could have yields trading between 4 and 8 percent on a daily basis.



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (35503)12/20/1999 7:15:00 PM
From: Cathedra  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
heinz, the yields on all the Treasury maturities tracked by Yahoo reached new 52-week highs today:

30-Year Bond ^TYX 2:59PM 64.28 +0.51 +0.80%
10-Year Note ^TNX 2:59PM 63.40 +0.53 +0.84%
5-Year Note ^FVX 2:59PM 62.63 +0.68 +1.10%
13-Week Bill ^IRX 2:59PM 53.80 +1.00 +1.89%

Tomorrow's FOMC meeting has to be responsible for a portion of the spike. But bond traders are probably also bracing for the feared Y2K cash withdrawals. As you observed, the breakout was especially sharp in the shorter-term Treasuries.

Is the stock market prepared for bad news from the FOMC meeting? Lord only knows. The SP 500 index put/call ratio is a gentlemanly 2.2 to 1, which suggests that the stock market is more complacent now than the beginning of this month.