To: Artslaw who wrote (496 ) 1/18/2000 1:49:00 PM From: tech101 Respond to of 1056
Upbeat Forecasts According to today's Wall Street Journal:interactive.wsj.com @2.cgi?.. ... Other associations have also come out with optimistic forecasts. In December, Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International forecast that world-wide sales of semiconductor production equipment will grow 18% in 2000 to $27.7 billion. The group expects a 20% rise in 2001 to $33.4 billion and a 14% increase in 2002 to $38.1 billion. It said the 85 companies providing input to its survey -- from the U.S., Europe and Japan -- account for 80% of the total sales volume of the global semiconductor equipment industry. Underlying the optimism of various forecasts is a pickup in the global semiconductor industry after several years of hardship because of overcapacity, which led to a drop in chip prices. Now, however, supply and demand are in better balance. Semiconductor makers appear more willing to step up capital spending to meet strong demand for chips, including that from makers of telecommunications devices such as mobile phones. Intel Corp. said Thursday that its capital spending for 2000 would be around $5 billion, an increase from $3.4 billion in 1999. Yukihiko Shimada, senior analyst at Credit Lyonnais Securities, said that monthly chip-making equipment order data are volatile, but he believes the industry will continue to recover this fiscal year and next as chip makers around the world expand capacity. In the year ended in March 1999, Japan's global chip-making equipment sales fell 38% to 823 billion yen after peaking in the prior year at 1.320 trillion yen. Write to James Paradise at james.paradise@dowjones.com