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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (58882)1/21/2000 5:52:00 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
OUCH ~ Deutsche Bank Analyst says Driller/Service is OVER VALUED HERE !

likes KMG for a $100 price target !

Like's Chevron I believe & Occidental... wants companies leveraged to the actual commodity prices - ie: E&P's - but, large caps without heavy refining exposure that most Intnl Oils have.

I'll bet lots of institutions move quickly to the 2nd tier $1Billion + mkt cap co's that are pureplays on commodity prices - without refining, or chemical side business, like EOG NBL BR UPR's; which look like good alternative's to the Supermajors imho. APA has broken out a bit, laggard $1B + market cap co's may be the sweetspot here.

$100 KMG ??? hmmmmm; I'll make the bet on $35 NBL, or $25 EOG, or $19 UPR, or $50 BR are seen before $100 KMG...



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (58882)1/21/2000 6:27:00 PM
From: Roebear  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Slider,
Word on the street from the SUV crowd is non interest on this point.
Gas prices jumped .09 this week in our area and the only discussion I have heard is where the cheapest gas is. With their payments at 400 to 600 dollars and extra buck and a half (12k miles a year/14mpg) each week at the pump doesn't make much of an impression.

When I explain to folks that $30 a barrel oil now is less than $7 in the 70's and roughly (this one is a guess if anyone wants to figure it) $17-18 in 1990 considering inflation, then $30 a barrel isn't so bad, they tend to agree. Especially when I mention the cost of getting new oil and the fact that most companies need $15-17 just to turn a profit. The spin doctors will have a harder time selling this to the wealth effect jaded public than they did in the 70's or 80's!

BTW, The NAO moved back to the zero line early this AM but has now backed off to negative -.1 (negative is good!), my figures are probably conservative and skewed a bit to the positive side. Haven't had time to check my weather sites today but the forecast is for ZERO degrees tonight here in PA with wind chill -10 to -30.

Wealth effect turn the thermostat up attitudes in hand, we should be looking good going into API's next week, what do you think?

Best Regards and holding/adding UFAB,

Roebear



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (58882)1/21/2000 7:42:00 PM
From: stevedhu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Slider, why don't you clean up the wording on your post and e-mail it to CNBC?
I for one and I'm sure most other's on this thread would love to hear their response, if they had the gut's to respond to you.
Take Care
Steve



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (58882)1/22/2000 12:43:00 PM
From: Gary Burton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
O/T---John Neff picked WM as a "veritable steal at these multiples" (6.9x at 25.50) as one of his picks in Barron's Roundtable that came out this weekend--stock is now at 22.63 so I gather it's more of a steal I guess--bond yield near peaking imo-we shall see