To: James Thompson who wrote (15933 ) 1/22/2000 7:59:00 PM From: Mark Peterson CPA Respond to of 19700
Jim, you're absolutely right about your assessment re the evolution of investing psychology. A reaffirmation in core beliefs has occurred that has been adopted more rapidly than the ones in 1849, when gold was discovered in California at Sutter's Mill. People back then weren't trying to "strike it rich", although that's what the movies would have you believe. They were trying to make a better living and get out from job jail where they worked 60 hours a week for someone else and still could not make ends meet. And land, housing, and food was all inexpensive back then. All you had to do was claim it, build it, and either hunt or grow it. Hell, if you had $3M, you could have stepped in and done the Louisiana Purchase yourself. Entrepreneurial core beliefs are not so different today, even after 150 years. At the root of all this today is the belief that investing through the application of technology, information, and the Internet can make a difference in each of our lives. Enough of a difference where we'll notice the change and our lives will be made better in some way because of the risks we took. Yep, some of those motherlodes are going to peter out. Others are going to cave in on themselves once the short-term investors leave. And there will be no medals or rewards issued as consolation prizes to those who took excessive risks or just made bad investments and lost their entire grubstake. But I think that in some ways, each of us understands that if we take $20 and stick it in a jar in the darkest corner of our closet, a year later, we'll still have the $20. But that's all. No risk? Well fella, no return, either... And this is a particularly profound lesson and one not so difficult to see for many of us who worked decades at a "real" job, delta neutral as it were, incorrectly thinking it would make a difference in our lives. During the last several years of investing, we've all worked harder, longer, but also smarter than we did in other careers. And as sure as those '49ers of 150 years ago, we've welcomed risk and the way it has changed our view of the horizon. Yes, this certainly is a different world we live in today. The only losers are the ones unwilling to change and embrace it. Mark