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To: David R. Schaller who wrote (76866)1/27/2000 10:02:00 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Simpler, cheaper: Meet the new PC

John G. Spooner, ZDNet

Compaq Computer Corp. is starting to ship its "legacy-free" iPaq PC this week in a bold
move to try and sell businesses on a simplified $499 computer.

Already, Compaq, Dell Computer Corp. and Gateway Inc. (NYSE: GTW - news) sell legacy-free
machines to consumers. But the iPaq is the first one aimed at the corporate market, and opinions
vary as to which market will develop first for these machines.

The iPaq's arrival symbolizes an important milestone in the evolution of
the traditional beige-box PC that has filled corporate desktops and homes
for two decades. With legacy-free design -- the abandoning of older
computer technologies that add cost and complexity -- manufacturers
hope to expand the market by giving corporate customers and
consumers easier-to-maintain and easier-to-afford machines.

In short, PC makers see their new, stylish offerings as the future of the
PC.

The iPaq was designed over a period of only a few months to deliver a
less complex, lower cost and more aesthetically pleasing PC to
corporations.

Whether or not iPaq looks good is a matter of personal taste. But the PC -- and it's still a PC -- trims
a lot of fat from the computer most consumers are familiar with.

More-stylish PCs
It removes, for example, the ISA bus and introduces Universal Serial Bus (USB) ports for adding
accessories such as a modem and printer. For consumers, the approach should result in PCs that
are more appealing and easier to set up.

Another benefit: Getting rid of older technologies allows PC designers to rethink the box approach.
Some legacy-free models look more like a pyramid or an old radio than a personal computer.

"When you get down to it, a PC is a desktop accessory. Why not make it look good?" said Mike
Feibus, principal analyst at Mercury Research. "That's what the 'personal' is for."

Compaq (NYSE: CPQ - news) expects iPaq models to contribute as much as 25 percent to its
worldwide DeskPro corporate PC sales in 2000, said Jerry Meerkatz, vice president and general
manager of Compaq's Desktop PC division. Compaq also offers a legacy-free PC Presario model for
the home, called EZ 2000 . It starts at $999.

Analysts predict iPaq PCs, or ones like it, could eventually constitute 80 percent of the PC market.
With a powerful-enough processor, a decent amount of system memory, a large hard drive and
expandability via USB, the machines should prove attractive.

Is less better?
But critics are not convinced the less-is-better approach is necessarily better.

Naysayers argue that iPaq and other legacy-free machines don't deliver enough performance to satisfy
everyone.

Gamers, for example, would appreciate the ability to add high-performance graphics cards, extra
drives and large amounts of memory to a PC -- something you couldn't do with an iPaq and some
other slimmed-down products.

The iPaq features a 500MHz Celeron chip, 64MB of RAM, a 4.3GB hard drive, a 24X CD-ROM drive
and two USB ports. It uses Intel Corp.'s 810E chip set, which includes an onboard graphics
processing engine and 4MB of video memory. But for a hard-core gamer those specs are soft.

However, "for the other 85 percent of the market it's plenty good enough," Feibus said. "And even a
rabid gamer would appreciate a USB keyboard."

Dell looks homeward
Dell (Nasdaq: DELL - news)is also getting into the act -- but targeting home users, not corporate
clients. Dell believes its corporate customers will be slow to warm to legacy-free PCs, in part because
the corporate PC purchase cycle typically stretches over several years.

"Product transitions like this are not light-switch transitions," said Carl Everett, a senior vice president
at Dell's PC Group. "Legacy PCs are not going to be replaced over two years by legacy-free PCs."

For consumers, the company offers WebPC , an Internet-oriented, legacy-free PC starting at $999.

The Windows 2000 connection
While they might not agree on adoption rates, Dell and Compaq see eye-to-eye when it comes to
Windows 2000. The forthcoming OS from Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT - news)may accelerate the
adoption of legacy-free hardware.

"The manageability attributes of legacy-free PCs (such as ease of expansion), coupled with Windows
2000 are very attractive," Everett said.

Both Compaq and Dell announced plans to begin taking orders on Windows 2000 PCs.

As part of its move to make PCs simpler, Compaq is working to create a number of easy-to-use
devices under the iPaq brand to allow users to connect to the Internet.

"The whole notion of what iPaq represents is a family of Internet-access devices," Meerkatz said. "The
upcoming versions of our handhelds and an iPaq portable ... all of that will be under the iPaq brand."

The company's Aero line of Windows CE handheld devices, for example, will be rebranded under the
iPaq name.

An iPaq handheld now in development will combine Microsoft's next-generation PocketPC software,
known by the code name Rapier, with wide-area wireless networking support. It should be introduced
in the April or May, company officials said.

Cell phones, pagers
Compaq is evaluating partnerships with manufacturers to build pager devices and cellular phones,
company officials said. These products, if offered, would likely come as part of a complete offering
aimed at helping connect company employees to the Internet as well as to data stored in their
corporate network.

Dell, for its part, is paying attention to connectivity, size and style when it comes to PC design.

"We're continuing to march down that path," Everett said.

That means, smaller, more-stylish corporate PCs from Dell are in the offing.

See this story in context on ZDNet

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To: David R. Schaller who wrote (76866)1/27/2000 10:07:00 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Respond to of 97611
 
BREAKFAST WITH THE FOOL

Thursday, January 27, 2000

"It is a bad plan that admits of no modification."
-- Publilius Syrus

Dell Misses Estimates, Not Big Picture

By Richard McCaffery (TMF Gibson)

Direct sales PC company Dell Computer (Nasdaq: DELL) fell
in after-hours trading last night after warning investors that fiscal
fourth-quarter earnings (excluding extraordinary items) will fall
about $0.06 shy of analyst estimates.

The company said a shortage of semiconductor components
and delayed purchases due to Y2K issues led to flat
year-over-year earnings and slower-than-expected sales growth.

Further, Dell said investors should expect 30% revenue growth
from here on out since the Round Rock, Texas manufacturer is
now a $25 billion company.

Naturally, there was much wailing about the shortfall. I even
heard one industry observer suggest Dell has gone too far with
its just-in-time manufacturing approach, the implication being it
will need to pad inventories a bit to meet blistering demand.
Good thing Michael Dell is running the company, not this guy.

It's not significant that the company missed estimates, plain
and simple. Bumps in the road such as Y2K and fluctuating
component supplies are part of doing business in the
technology industry, and Dell will get things straightened out.
For the long-term investor, these jags are no big deal.

It is significant that the company's sales growth will slow to
30%, mainly because Dell's growth rate has defied gravity for so
long. We knew the slowdown was coming, but it's still an event
when it happens.

What's forgotten in the earnings stir is that Dell is a better,
more profitable company today than it was a year ago. That's a
fact. In terms of its ability to generate cash, which is a major
component of what determines a company's intrinsic value, Dell
is actually picking up speed.

Look at Dell's third-quarter income and cash flow statements for
the last three years.

First Nine Months 1997-1998 1998-1999

Revenue growth 52% 41%
Net income growth 57% 18.8%

Cash from operations growth 68% 83.5%
Free cash flow growth 64% 95%

Sure, the company's sales and earnings growth have slowed,
but that's just what's happening on the surface. I highlighted the
cash flow numbers since they're the best measure of Dell's real
profitability, and you can see they're growing fast. As the
company's influence, market share, and scale have increased,
Dell's efficiencies flow right to the bottom line. There's no
indication that won't continue.

As for concerns about PC growth slowing, we hear it every
year. Overall, growth seems to be slowing, but Dell is growing
two to three times faster than the computer systems market,
which means it's capturing market share in a very fragmented
industry. Further, the company has barely scratched the
surface internationally.

As for the growth of information appliances -- believe it when
you see it. Most of us do the bulk of our work on PCs and I
think it will stay that way. Sure, I'd like to surf the Web in my
car, but that doesn't mean I don't want a PC at home and in the
office. Besides, if information appliances do take off, Dell will be
right there.

Not that the company doesn't have issues. The missed
estimates/slowing sales growth story has to be reported, and
it's worth tracking. Just don't miss the forest for the trees. In my
opinion, the company's greatest challenge is the need to keep
customer service levels high since there's been anecdotal
evidence it's been slipping. Also the company needs to
increase penetration in the server business.

For the long haul, however, Dell has the technology,
management team, and business model to reward shareholders
for years to come.

News to Go

Life insurance company John Hancock (NYSE: JHF) raised
$1.7 billion by selling 102 million shares at $17 a piece last
night. The shares will begin trading today on the New York
Stock Exchange.

Optical networking equipment company Sycamore Networks
(Nasdaq: SCMR) will split its stock three for one on February
14. Shareholders on record as of February 4 will receive two
shares for each share they own. Sycamore closed last night at
$300 1/16.

Pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) reported that
fourth-quarter net income (excluding one-time events) increased
22% to $671.7 million, or $0.61 per diluted share, compared to
$561.6 million, or $0.50 per diluted share, a year ago. The
results were in line with analyst estimates.

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To: David R. Schaller who wrote (76866)1/27/2000 10:10:00 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Dan Niles from Briefing.com
by: tachyon_man_39
1/27/00 9:59 am
Msg: 136472 of 136480
Where is Maria with this news! CNBC does four separate reports on Dell this AM and only mentions
CPQ most actively traded stock, down a fraction!
Dan Niles of Robertson Stephens reiterated his 'buy' rating and raised CPQ target price from $40 to
$45. FY00 EPS upped from .95 to $1.05.