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Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lucretius who wrote (4925)1/28/2000 5:27:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42523
 
Yeah, I covered several times over the
last sessions,taking some in and giving
some back. :^(
I'll be looking to short
notes and bonds if stocks/bonds rally after
an FOMC decision to raise by only 25bps.

Today was a very interesting day for SPoo trading. :^)
Things slowed down for me toward the end of the
session, and being Friday I had a opportunity to
surf SI.
Message 12714064

Message 12714406

I did notice that Pietra didn't have time to post today
on his Millenium thread.

FWIW, I am short SPoos position going into Monday.
Technically and fundamentally equities suck. And with
the Fed boxed in, portfolio managers who follow the
dictum, "Don't fight the Fed" have to begin reversing.

BTW, not many people realize how close the NDX futures
were to chaos Jan. 6 when the futures dropped 170 pts
or so after losing around 300 pts the prior two days.
THE PIT STOPPED TOUCHING PAPER at one point and refused
to take customer orders. Runners were being turned away
from the steps since some clerks wouldn't even look at
them. Bid/asked spreads were 10 pts. That's a $1000.

I haven't seen such illiquidity since '87 in the SPoo pit.
And what's particularly bothersome is that the lack of
hedging in one market, say NDX100s, can spill over into
SPoos. After all, when hedgers gotta hedge they'll use
what works. Take today for instance: with a drop similar
to that of Jan.6th, only 1700 contracts traded, indicating
that much of the hedging moved to the SPoo pit.
Keep in mind there are far less inventory holders
now than in '87. Many trading firms are gone. The
remainder severely limit the amount of over-priced junk
which the daytraders are exchanging with one another.

Now illiquidity cuts both ways, down and up, as many of
us of the bearish persuasion know only too well. But the
next few weeks promise to be very, very interesting,
especially if the Fed continues to waffle. BWDIK.