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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (38450)1/28/2000 7:15:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
The thread should get a good laugh out of this. Looks like Abby has made one bullish call too many:

updated 3:30 p.m. 28.Jan.2000 PST





Stocks Overvalued? 'No Way'
Reuters

7:00 a.m. 27.Jan.2000 PST
DAVOS, Switzerland -- Abby Joseph Cohen, chief
U.S. market strategist at investment bank
Goldman Sachs and one of Wall Street's most
influential stock market forecasters, said on
Thursday she still saw moderate gains ahead in
the U.S. equity market.

"The U.S. stock market is not overvalued," Cohen
said at the World Economic Forum's annual
meeting in Davos. There was also no cyclical
slowdown ahead any time soon for the U.S.
economy, she added.

Wired News' Stocks Summary

"The U.S. economy still has quite a long way to
go."

The S&P 500 index, the most broadly based U.S.
stock market index, had been undervalued
through most of the 1990s but was currently fairly
valued, she said.

Overall, she predicted a moderate rise in U.S.
stock prices in 2000. "Returns will be good, but
not great," she said without being more specific.

The near-record U.S. economic expansion in the
1990s was the consequence of both appropriate
governmental policies and the performance of the
corporate sector, said Cohen.

She has been confidently repeating her bullish
forecasts even when stock prices have dipped.
Wall Street is currently trading close to record
levels.

Cohen said U.S. fiscal policies had dramatically
improved and monetary policy was being
conducted well. In addition, U.S. trade policy
contributed to free and open markets and
facilitated U.S. growth. And there was more
liberalization ahead, she said.

"I think the Administration will be supportive of
more trade talks," she said. "Protectionism is not
on most people's agenda."

She dismissed criticism of the U.S. trade and
current account deficits, which she said were
symptoms of problems elsewhere.

"I would hate to see what the world would have
looked like had the U.S. not allowed its trade
deficit to be so high," she said during a panel
discussion.

Copyright ¸ 1999-2000 Reuters Limited.



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (38450)1/28/2000 8:06:00 PM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Hello Heinz.

not even the popular demographic argument holds up under close scrutiny btw. i'll post some information on this over the weekend if you like.

Please post the information you are referring to, in the statement above.

This argument has been the only nagging piece of data which has created some doubt, in my mind, that we are entering a bear market. TIA