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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jack Jagernauth who wrote (10140)	1/28/2000 11:14:00 PM
From: fuzzymath	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 18929

Yes, buying opportunities on the way! Just be patient. I am truly a conservative investor. I hate losing money. But, the truth is that the most daring thing you can do is exit the stock market for a while. In exiting the market, you are saying that in your opinion most people have made a mistake and are overvaluing our economy's future productivity. It's easy to be wrong about that. I think Japan is a very positive marketplace. I've followed the Japanese market for a very long time. I've thought of adding the Nikkei to my web site. Would that interest you? What's G&K? I mean, why would they object to the AIM strategy? I don't know when this will end. We breached the early January lows. My models simply all point down. They don't tell me how far declines might go. They look for reductions in downward momentum, and clearly today we saw an acceleration in downward momentum. But, you are definitely understanding one of the main points of my models. The key prediction is when to buy, not when to sell. We're going down now. But downward moves are much more brief than upward moves in today's market. In a downward move, you just want to wait on the sidelines in cash until the market begins to suggest: "That's enough. Now it's time to resume my normal upward trend." UP is the natural direction for the market, because we all work very hard every day to improve our productivity, which is precisely what makes the stock market rise. Thanks for the interesting commentary! Kevin