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To: H James Morris who wrote (92571)1/30/2000 1:08:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
Price: $96 3/4
12 Month Price Objective: $116
Estimates (Dec) 1999A 2000E 2001E
EPS: $0.85 $1.40 $1.80
P/E: 113.8x 69.1x 53.8x
EPS Change (YoY): 64.7% 28.6%
Consensus EPS: $1.19 NA
(First Call: 14-Jan-2000)
Q1 EPS (Mar): $0.15 $0.32
Cash Flow/Share: $0.63 $0.88 $1.20
Price/Cash Flow: 153.8x 109.9x 80.6x
Dividend Rate: Nil Nil Nil
Dividend Yield: Nil Nil Nil
Opinion & Financial Data
Investment Opinion: C-2-1-9
Mkt. Value / Shares Outstanding (mn): $3,487.1 / 34
Book Value/Share (Dec-1999): $17.06
Price/Book Ratio: 6.0x
ROE 1999E Average: 10.4%
LT Liability % of Capital: 0.0%
Est. 5 Year EPS Growth: 30.0%
Stock Data
52-Week Range: $110 3/4-$17
Symbol / Exchange: SNDK / OTC
Options: Phila
Institutional Ownership-Spectrum: 42.5%
Brokers Covering (First Call): 5
ML Industry Weightings & Ratings**
Strategy; Weighting Rel. to Mkt.:
Income: Underweight (07-Mar-1995)
Growth: Overweight (13-May-1999)
Income & Growth: Overweight (13-May-1999)
Capital Appreciation: Overweight (10-Feb-1999)
Market Analysis; Technical Rating: Above Average (25-Jun-1999)
**The views expressed are those of the macro department and do not
necessarily coincide with those of the Fundamental analyst.
For full investment opinion definitions, see footnotes.
Investment Highlights:
ú SanDisk reported 4Q99 EPS of $0.30, beating
both our and the Consensus estimate by a
$0.08. Revenues of $82.8 million were up
22.6% QoQ, above our $75.0 million estimate
driven by robust sales of CompactFlash into
the digital camera market.
ú With demand for SanDisk?s flash memory
products continuing to far outstrip the
available supply, we are raising our price
target to $116, or 64.4 times our new $1.80 F01
estimate. We are reiterating our
Accumulate/Buy ratings.
Fundamental Highlights:
ú Solid growth in sales was driven by
skyrocketing demand for CompactFlash cards
used in digital camera, MP3 audio, and other
applications.
ú Order visibility is at record levels, with 1Q00
appearing to be fully booked, along with most
of 2Q00 as well. The company remains
capacity constrained.
ú Firming ASPs, a richening product mix, and
increased manufacturing efficiencies should
combine to drive gross margins higher moving
forward.
Comment
United States
Semiconductors
27 January 2000
Eric Rothdeutsch
Vice President
Christopher Danely
Industry Analyst
SanDisk Corp Inc
Blowout Quarter Led By CompactFlash
Sales; Raising Estimates and Price Objective
ACCUMULATE
Long Term
BUY Reason for Report: Earnings Report
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#20102712
Stock Performance
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110
0.00
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0.08
1997 1998 1999 2000
SanDisk Corp Inc
Rel to S&P Composite Index (500) (Right Scale)



To: H James Morris who wrote (92571)1/30/2000 4:36:00 PM
From: Si_Detective  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
Sandisk has solid patent portfolio. All this digital camera, PDA, MP3 stuff are driving their market. One thing I like about the company is company founders still there and they're good!!