To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (48467 ) 2/8/2000 3:28:00 PM From: russet Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116758
Yo'Russet...just what is it that ABX said today that makes you so certain ABX is now acquiring naked long gold calls? They said this,... Barrick expects 2000 to be a strong year for both earnings and cash flow with continued outstanding performance from its premium gold sales program. "We remain committed to our strategy of delivering strong, predictable earnings through our unique hedge program," said Jamie Sokalsky, senior vice-president and chief financial officer. "With some key changes to enhance our leverage to rising gold prices, we will now be able to provide earlier participation in rallies while maintaining the downside protection." Barrick has 84 per cent of its 59.3 million ounces in gold reserves leveraged to the price of gold and remains assured of downside protection on 13.6 million ounces sold forward at a minimum average price of $360 (U.S.) per ounce. The company's premium gold sales program provides a floor of $360 (U.S.) per ounce for 100 per cent of production in 2000 and 2001, and approximately 25 per cent for subsequent years. The total amount of ounces committed in the program has been reduced from 18.8 million ounces at the end of the third quarter to a net 9.8 million ounces at year-end 1999. Barrick has already enhanced its leverage to the gold price by implementing three key measures: Barrick reduced its long-term call options sold from 4.0 million ounces at the end of the third quarter, to 2.7 million ounces at year end. The company spread out the delivery schedule of its spot-deferred contracts over more years, assuring a minimum price of $360 (U.S.) throughout.Barrick purchased 6.8 million ounces of call options to provide earlier participation and make more money in gold price rallies. The purchased call options, an important new dimension, cover 100 per cent of production from March 1, 2000, through 2001. They give Barrick the right, but not the obligation, to purchase gold at $319 (U.S.) in 2000 and $335 (U.S.) in 2001. The calls allow Barrick to realize its floor price of $360 (U.S.) plus any value over the call strike prices of $319 (U.S.) in 2000 and $335 (U.S.) in 2001. "Our near-term earnings and cash flow will benefit immediately from these key adjustments during rising gold prices. Our objective remains the same: to place a floor on our revenues and also more fully participate in a rising gold price environment," said Mr. Sokalsky. Barrick is the most valued gold producer in terms of market capitalization and has the strongest financial position in the industry with the only A-rated balance sheet. As far as Barrick being a lousy long term investment,...take a look at thishttp://quote.yahoo.com/q?s=ABX&d=mys It shows ABX performance since inception about 15 years ago has beat the S&P 500 over that time. Plot this performance against the POG, or the gold index, or another gold company that is the same size as ABX today, and I think ABX will prove to be a relatively good investment. Note the key word,...relative. ABX can also be used effectively as a short term trader to glean the uptrend spurts in the POG as Bob Johnson does. It reacts with good jumps every time the POG goes up. Bob has done very well with it, up 80% in a few years, don't you think? http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=12800340 > Re ABX: You may be holding the wrong stock Bob. You are probably right, I have been trading only ABX since November 1998 and I am up a little over 80%. I could only imagine if I was in the right stocks or actually knew what I was doing how much better my dismal performance will be ;)