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Biotech / Medical : 2000-Year of the Biotechs! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike McFarland who wrote (245)2/8/2000 7:20:00 AM
From: Arthur Radley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1142
 
Mike,
I owned SCLN several years ago and it is beginning to look interesting again. Their drug is currently approved in several foreign countries and if approved here, could be a big winner.
Any comments from anyone?



To: Mike McFarland who wrote (245)2/9/2000 5:43:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1142
 
Good morning biotech enthusiasts.

I awoke early from my slumber, as I nearly always do, and
was thinking what I would want to communicate to my Dad if
he had his new computer and came across this board, looking
for biotechs in which to invest. This is what I'd say:

There was an incredible sale going on last year in biotechland,
a clearance sale, all must go, 90% off. If you bought then,
like a handful of us here on SI did, then you have terrific
gains and everything that is coming now as the internet momentum
shifts sectors is gravy. Shareprices now are probably fair, with
only a few bargains still mispriced. We are now heading into
the time when things start to get expensive, certainly a few
of the familiar names in genomic stocks have already got to that
point.

I would also remind my Dad that when his money manager was putting
him in Lucent and Microsoft at the end of last year, I had dropped
off the investor package from Genzyme Molecular Oncology--it was
my first and last stock pick for Dad--and it was a five dollar stock
at that time.

Now GZMO is still a bargain in the low teens, but folks should
have bought it at $5 (I bought around $5, and more just under $10
a couple weeks ago, plus a quick flip of a few thousand from 8 to
ten just the other day--and as always, I flipped out too early <g>).

Gosh, what was my point...now I'm getting sleepy again. Rats,
lost my thought. Oh, I remember now--I also bought TGEN below
$2...and recently added on the way up, paying up as much as $7.
But I would not want Dad to suddenly trade his Lucent and MSFT
for TGEN and GZMO right now--and the reason is this: Those of us
who have been in biotech these past months have a nice cushion
if a market correction comes (and it probably will, probably in
Spring or Summer after a couple more Fed rate hikes).
That cusion means I wont get shook out of my shares if things
dip--whereas a person buying now might not have enough of a
gain by the time summer rolls around. Does that make any sense?

(Disclaimer for the day--my trading cash is in TGEN right now,
and I think we can go to the lower teens in short order, even
without any new press releases. I have choked up the Yahoo
thread with my recent thoughts on that one, if anybody has
any feelings about TGEN speak now or forever hold your peace!)

To be sure, part of the reason I'm posting here is that I
see the thread is on the hot list--and yeah, I want to do
some cheerleading for my own stock picks, we all do that.

One more thought...
Lately I have noticed that some of the biotech guys here
on SI are getting a bit cranky--I saw a fella get chewed to
pieces on another thread. Not too nice, I would say this:
Let's get over ourselves okay kids? The internet momo
players who have moved over to biotech now are not ranting
about how smart they are. There is money being made, that
is the bottom line--a nice artifact of that is great
funding is coming to biotech, a batch of IPOs and secondary
offerings, the money is flowing--so cures and therapies
eventually will come from thisfroth--it's a good thing!

Let's not get cranky with each other, live it up!

Happy trades!