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To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (66300)2/8/2000 4:00:00 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Excuse me, but who is Michael Burke ? Jon. eom.



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (66300)2/8/2000 4:08:00 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Barton Biggs is NOT my favorite "expert." Jon. eom.



To: Skeeter Bug who wrote (66300)2/8/2000 6:00:00 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Okay, Mr. Bug (Skeeter, to your close associates) -- I just read (or -- pretended to read, since this stuff is almost totally unreadable, it's so boring) the Paul Kasriel (of Northern Trust) piece on exploding monetary numbers.

I used to read Mr. Kasriel's stuff almost daily (about a year or two ago), since I am very heavily involved in interest rate futures trading.

After a while, it was clear to me that no matter what the data was (were), Mr. K always twisted it into a "it proves there's inflation" mode of interpretation.

This becomes "old" very quickly, especially when inflation has been trending sideways to down for roughly ten years now.

I stopped reading his stuff, figuring my time was better spent watching Tom & Jerry cartoons with my kids (among other things).

I cannot refute what he says. I did study this stuff at business school, but I did not "get it" (the way I "got" things like, for example, marginal cost (in introductory micro-economics)).

As Lawrence Kudlow says -- common sense indicates that if any of this stuff were perceived to be a problem, the foreign exchange value of the dollar would not be high (and gold low).

I do not think the U.S. is on the verge of big monetary expansion.

I think Mr. K is "data mining."

Jon.