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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ralph W. who wrote (76165)	2/18/2000 1:20:00 PM
From: Freedom Fighter	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 132070

Ralph, Sounds like arbitrage. It's occasionally possible to do similar things on out of state simulcasts. In stakes races, if the main contenders are from two different states, the locals tend to favor the one they know. It creates the possibility of betting both contenders at a price that is an overlay by betting in opposite states. You need a partner to do this though. There's no guarantee of cashing, but you can get the odds tilted towards you. I used to this one. Occasionally the exacta and win pools are moderately out of line. You can put the horse you want to bet to win on top of every horse in the race in a proportion that produces the same winning amount no matter who comes in second. So in effect you are creating a win bet in the exact pools. Sometimes, though not often, you can get an extra tick or two on the horse in the exacta pool. Over the long haul that helps. Wayne

To: Ralph W. who wrote (76165)	2/20/2000 10:59:00 AM
From: Freedom Fighter	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 132070

Ralph, Mike, and Bill M, I watched the Fountain of Youth. I thought the outcome was logical. The Racing Form, Pat Day, television announcers etc.. commented that the track was favoring inside speed. I didn't see any of the other races. I looked at the charts for the day and based on the comments of the trackman I doubt it was a strong bias if there was one. My guess is that neither the winner or 2nd horse is the Derby winner even though I thought they both had very good races. The 3rd place finisher, Elite Mercedes, hasn't shown nearly enough to be taken seriously yet. However, Elliot Walden took over the training of this one recently and he might move forward. Elliot is good! This was the horse's first start since November. Greenwood Lake had a better performance, but I don't like his style of coming from way, way back. He needs some racing luck to get the job done. Chilukki got beat yesterday. I didn't see the race, but I don't think it's any big deal. It was her first start off the layoff. Baffert is smart enough not to send her out 100% right away and she was vulnerable at 1 1/16 anyway. I think she will do OK routing because she has SO much ability, but I still think she's better going short. Wayne