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To: Patriarch who wrote (39539)2/20/2000 1:26:00 PM
From: Mang Cheng  Respond to of 45548
 
Pat, the trailing 12 months revenue is around 800 millions. The 1.5 billion is projected revenue for the next 12 months which had been used by a few forward looking analysts. For high growth companies like Palm, we should use projected revenue. If people used Qcom revenue ten year from now to project current stock price, why shouldn't we use next year Palm revenue.

If Palm cannot achieve 1.5 billions in the next 12 months, I'm sure it will not do well. If it can keep up with hyper growth rate, then it deserves hyper valuation.

Mang



To: Patriarch who wrote (39539)2/20/2000 2:17:00 PM
From: David E. Taylor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 
Pat:

PALM revenue for the first 6 months of FY 2000 was $435 million, $176.5 in Q1 (52% growth over Q1 1999), and $258.5 in Q2 (76% growth over Q2 1999). Q3 and Q4 for 1999 were $126 and $174 million, applying similar growth rates gets you to somewhere around $1 billion in revenues for FY 2000.

IMO, the $1.5 billion is a bit optimistic, but who knows? We'll have a better idea with earnings in June, although Q3 is historically a "seasonally slow" quarter.

David T.