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To: Gottfried who wrote (34394)	2/24/2000 12:18:00 AM
From: Paul V.	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 70976

Gottfried, BTB numbers since 1991. Interesting review. Naturally, the above is only my opinions and the data which I have reviewed from the Dorsey Wright site, IBD and SEMI sites. Readers are reminded the old saving, "caveat emptor (buyer/reader beware)." These next few months will tell alot. Paul YEARS AV MTH MTH MTH MTH 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 '91-00 STD HDV LDEV JAN 1.23 1.09 1.12 1.17 1.32 1.28 1.08 0.94 1.12 1.34 1.169 0.124 1.293 1.045 FEB 1.12 1.2 1.15 1.13 1.41 1.36 1.07 0.9 1.22 1.173 0.152 1.325 1.022 MAR 0.91 1.13 1.12 1.07 1.3 1.15 1.15 0.82 1.33 1.109 0.164 1.272 0.945 APR 0.92 1.02 1.18 1.05 1.23 1 1.1 0.78 1.28 1.062 0.157 1.219 0.905 MAY 0.93 0.93 1.2 1.02 1.11 0.87 1.09 0.81 1.24 1.022 0.149 1.171 0.873 JUN 0.96 0.9 1.22 1.16 1.18 0.87 1.07 0.74 1.21 1.034 0.174 1.208 0.86 JLY 0.93 0.92 1.19 1.2 1.08 0.76 1.12 0.65 1.11 1 0.194 1.189 0.802 AUG 0.92 0.94 1.14 1.21 1.05 0.71 1.1 0.57 1.09 0.97 0.211 1.181 0.759 SEPT 0.94 0.98 1.02 1.03 1.02 0.7 1.09 0.57 1.07 0.93 0.179 1.115 0.757 OCT 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.12 1.07 0.78 1.05 0.75 1.08 1 0.132 1.121 0.857 NOV 0.96 1.03 1.05 1.19 1.06 0.9 1.02 0.84 1.11 1.017 0.105 1.22 0.912 DEC 0.98 1.08 1.19 1.29 1.15 1.01 0.99 0.96 1.19 1.092 0.116 1.21 0.975 Y Av. 9.84 1.019 1.134 1.137 1.165 0.949 1.078 0.78 1.169 0.94 1.2 2 0.892 YR SD. 0.096 0.092 0.0685 0.0823 0.1248 0.218 0.43 0.13 0.086 0.065 0.033 0.065 0.925 YR HDV. 1.08 1.111 1.2027 1.219 1.289 1.167 1.12 0.91 1.256 1.01 0.187 1.265 0.985 YR LDV. 0.887 0.926 1.0656 1.054 1.04 0.731 1.035 0.65 1.083 0.88 0.121 1.134 0.799 1996/99 YEARS MONTH Orders Shipment Actual BTB Price Rng Rel. Strgth JAN'96 FEB'96 1687 1243 1.1 35.5-36.75 MAR'96 1447 1256 1.15 33.50-35.875 APRIL '96 1361 1354 1.01 34.875-40.875 MAY'96 1187 1366 0.87 36-40.375 JUNE'96 1175 1354 0.87 30.25-37.25 JULY'96 992 1311 0.76 22-25 <10 AUGUST'96 882 1248 0.71 23-27 <10 SEPT'96 778 1119 0.7 24-30 11-15 OCT'96 833 1072 0.78 26-30 11-27 NOV'96 952 1062 0.9 27-40 15-79 DEC'96 1078 1069 1.01 35-40 60-87 JAN'97 1116 1034 1.08 36-49 65-94 FEB'97 1101 1029 1.07 41-55 90-95 MAR'97 1265 1102 1.15 44-54 94-95 APRIL '97 1386 1261 1.1 45-55 94-96 MAY'97 1421 1299 1.09 56-72 95-97 JUNE'97 1487 1375 1.07 58-75 95-97 JULY'97 1659 1476 1.12 74-95 95-97 AUGUST'97 1400.5 1536 1.1 89-108 96-99 SEPT'97 1468.5 1672 1.06 95.0625-98.625 OCT'97 2X1 SPLIT 1518 1793 1.02 64-96.125 NOV'97 1595.1 1598 1 30-34 DEC'97 1589 1559 0.99 30-33 JAN'98 1515.7 1458 0.93 30-34 FEB'98 1382.5 1369 0.9 33.25-37.50 MAR'98 1240.1 1370 0.82 35.0625-36.5625 APRIL'98 1136.9 1416 0.78 35-37.8125 MAY'98 1107.1 1361 0.81 32-36.4375 JUNE'98 932.7 1266 0.74 29.375-32.50 JULY'98 717.6 1112 0.65 29-34 20-54 AUG'98 571.6 1012 0.57 25-37 38-56 SEPT'98 481.3 846 0.57 23-27 38-50 OCT'98 638 852.3 0.75 22-36 40-65 NOV'98 767.2 913.6 0.84 33-43 62-86 DEC'98 883.4 920.9 0.96 38-47 92-96 JAN'99 996.7 890 1.12 46-64 94-96 FEB'99 1028.8 845 1.22 56-71 94-97 MAR/99 1227.8 922.8 1.3 55-67 93-97 APR.'99 1305.2 1018.9 1.28 49-68 92-96 MAY'99 1427.2 1148.2 1.24 53-67 83-89 JUNE'99 1560.5 1288.3 1.21 68.625-75 JULY'99 1530.9 1375.2 1.11 71.75-74.625 AUG'99 1565.1 1440.7 1.09 67.75-72.5625 SEPT'99 1510.7 1412.9 1.07 71.25-79.6875 OCT'99 1609.5 1484.3 1.08 76.6875-90.1875 NOV'99 1694.5 1528.5 1.11 87.50-102 DEC'99 1892 1587.4 1.19 98.125-129 JAN'00 2177.8 1620.4 1.34 121.375-137.5625 FEB'00 144-188 86-89 YEARLY AVER. 1236.193617 1255.893617 0.94743589744 YRLY STDEV. 335.43998129 239.26745759 0.18747161364 YRLY HGH DEV. 1571.6335983 1495.1610746 1.1349075111 YRLY LOW DEV. 900.75363574 1016.6261594 0.7599642838