To: the hube who wrote (18842 ) 2/26/2000 8:43:00 PM From: stomper Respond to of 54805
John, thank you for the reply. Like you, I initially thought of ELON as a home networking/automation play. Also like you, I believe that home networking (at least in this country, see below) is years from fruition as far as any kind of widespread standard or acceptance aside from "gee-whiz". However, I believe the most important space that Echelon is focusing on now is the commercial/industrial automation and monitoring. This is even now a nascent industry with expected growth of 1000% over the next three years. Anything that carries an electonic pulse or signal frequency is fair game to be controlled by the LonWorks protocol. This translates into a potential for trillions (yes, with a T)of neuron chips. Echelon's royalty on each neuron chip is, if i recall correctly, 4-6 cents. The profits will come...consensus is, lol, a nickel for this fiscal year. I agree with you that the revenues are scary and negligible at best. I happen to think that this model is brilliant. Create the protocol as a standard household/business name, and the business will come to you, competitors or not. Dr. Oshman has spent the last 12 years bringing LonWorks to fruition, by the time anyone else catches up to this point...too late. Gorilla? Maybe not. Time will tell. I'm thinking it is and have acted accordingly...i've missed a lot of 'em in just a few short years. Thanks again for the reply. -dave RE: Foreign home automation As many on this board know, the European community is particuliarly sensitive to energy uses due to energy costs in those countries. Echelon already has a foot in the door in many of these countries. Home automation will, IMO, a must within the next 24 months in those countries. It has been mentioned already that Finland has adopted LonWorks as the national standard. As Finns go in technology, so goes Europe.