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Strategies & Market Trends : Electronic Contract Manufacture (ECM) Sector -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rich evans who wrote (2244)2/28/2000 3:22:00 PM
From: joemjo  Respond to of 2542
 
Brave enough to hold. Got in at 66.

Has anybody looked at C-MAC traded in Toronto? I understand they are a CEM which specializes in fiber optic equipment. Cusip 125920108.



To: rich evans who wrote (2244)2/28/2000 4:29:00 PM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 2542
 
Yes, I bought a little on Fri. and a little today also. Although with this stock, I'd characterize myself more as a lost soul than a brave soul -g-.

I liked the Barron's article of last week. I agree with its conclusions that SLR is relatively undervalued. I've found that investing in stocks that are relatively undervalued compared to other stocks is a dangerous, very dangerous way to invest. Often there is an underlying reason for the undervaluation or the whole comparison procession is invalidated when industry/market perceptions change and the pe ratios drop for the key company or companies.

With SLR, I assume, based on its very good past record and excellent management (from what I am able to sense) that the only negative lurking is the shortage of critical components - I am worried esp. about tantalum caps, a component in SLR's cell phones. If it is a problem, I am hoping it's only a 1Q-2Q issue. Given the ability of this ecm sector to grow and also maintain high pe ratios (high pe's by my standards anyway), I'll bet that SLR, a key player, will see its stock recover.



To: rich evans who wrote (2244)3/1/2000 6:36:00 PM
From: kolo55  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 2542
 
I flipped SLR for JBL today.

I had picked up a lot of SLR, especially in the low 60s. Today I flipped most of it for JBL at even pricing.

SLR has said they will hit $20B in revenues next year, so in about a year they will doing $5B a quarter. Based on 1.8 times run rate revenues at that time, the stock will have a market cap of $37B, about twice the current market cap.

This is why I bought SLR, but I flipped to JBL because the March earnings report is going to look much better than SLR.
They will earn more per share, and forecast higher EPS growth going forward I believe. If things work out, JBL will jump to a 10-15% premium over SLR, and I will flip back. Either way I am on a great horse longer term.

I have been playing this game over the last year, and if I have time, I will update some forecasts from a year ago.

Paul