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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr. BSL who wrote (12226)3/4/2000 8:28:00 AM
From: Jeffrey D  Respond to of 15132
 
Fed. Governor Meyer says productivity explosion has made their economic forecasting equations obsolete. I wonder if the same could be said for a portion of BB's model. Oh yeah, Meyer says more rate hike{s} needed. Jeff

"Meyer and other Fed policy-makers have said a surge in worker
productivity has made the old equations out-of-date and made
forecasting economic developments more difficult for central
bankers.
``Structural changes of uncertain magnitude and timing have
increased the difficulty in forecasting, undermined confidence in
our understanding of the structure of the economy, and increased
the risk of measurement error with respect to key variables,'
Meyer said."

quote.bloomberg.com



To: Mr. BSL who wrote (12226)3/4/2000 3:23:00 PM
From: marc ultra  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15132
 
Mr BSL re<<<he case for hedging>>>

While I think I'm making most of my money on the few stocks I didn't sell, hedging to avoid a tax hit and allowing me to hold my hot funds has been a home run particularly since I used S&P500 short instruments to hedge. Since Jan 10th

S&P500 down 3.3%
BSCFX up 6.6%
MNGCX up 16.5%
TIGEX flat
TEFQX up 18%

If this is a sample of how I'll do in a real bear, bring it on

Marc