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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Clint E. who wrote (25738)3/25/2000 3:25:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 68319
 
Hi Clint,

I am having trouble coming up with a good scenario for this earnings season. I expect a push to the upside as we finish window dressing for the end of Q, then a stall/pull back as we focus on the economic number in the first week of the new month. After that it becomes more fuzzy. The psychology seems to be to the upside. Most people expect the Q2 profits to be good. I get the feeling that might be built into the market and more though. I see a bias to the upside given the speed of the rebound in the COMPX, but do we rally into the earnings date and then sell off as people take money out of the market to pay taxes and prepare for the summer holiday months. I wonder?

The technical break of the uptrend in the 30 year bonds is puzzling too. It is fuelling in part the run on the financials. As group they were tremendously over sold as Thomas indicated. How much they have to run I will have to look at more closely. This indicator with the DJUA and DJTA seem to be indicating lower rates in the future, which is something near term we know is not going to happen. Something is happening here that is current not reflected explicitly in the news.

I try to add some names to the list later this weekend. As a kick off I would add GLW. Look at my post to Stefan for the rationale.

Message 13272146



To: Clint E. who wrote (25738)3/25/2000 6:44:00 PM
From: drsvelte  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 68319
 
Clint...re CPTH

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