SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : All Clowns Must Be Destroyed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Defrocked who wrote (24020)4/7/2000 1:44:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42523
 
yep, i've been watching that. but i think a recession is HIGHLY likely since one will begin day 1 following an epic break in stocks



To: Defrocked who wrote (24020)4/7/2000 3:14:00 PM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42523
 
>statistical studies have shown that
when US10 yields < 30MoTbill yields the
economy has historically entered a
recession six months later 100% of the
time.

Abby never told me about this. And the Wall St. Journal commercial just said I'd be a huge success if I read it, and then IPO a B2B company.
Thus I don't believe.



To: Defrocked who wrote (24020)4/7/2000 3:53:00 PM
From: flatsville  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42523
 
Def--

Is the red line on the Daily Chart (larger chart) labeled Short Term-$IRX is/include the 30 mo. T Bill?

If so, Yikes...

stockcharts.com

>>>The Fed monitors this spread since
statistical studies have shown that
when US10 yields < 30MoTbill yields the
economy has historically entered a
recession six months later 100% of the
time.<<<


In this case, with an inverted yeild curve, it actual will meet the 30 yr. first. Has it ever done THAT?