To: Steve Fancy who wrote (20095 ) 4/13/2000 4:49:00 PM From: Herschel Rubin Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 30916
As mentioned earlier, this decline in the Nasdaq & Tech high-fliers is, to a large extent, due to investors/traders having to sell positions to raise cash to pay for large Schedule-D Captial Gains from 1999. Remember that the NASDAQ was up 84% last year. Many people are sitting on a HUGE tax liability and their most liquid funds are IN THE MARKET. These funds are now being taken out of the market. Include me in that list. Include Bink, and many others. This recent decline is a gift just like the annual year-end tax-selling phenomenon (I was buying like crazy at the end of 1999 and profited handsomely). I believe the same can be said of this period because never in history have we had such an advance in the Nasdaq as we did in 1999, so now we're having an unprecedented amount of tax-selling like we've never seen. Why is it such a gift? Because the fundamentals of the Internet/telecom/infrastructure business are intact and this tax-selling bout will be remembered as a great opportunity. I was thinking the same thought about the B2B stocks that have been pummeled recently. We all know B2B won't go away in the long term. Rather, B2B is going to be HUGE. The recent dose of rationality in the B2B sector may also have provided a rare buying opportunity. At times like these, people are forced into a more critical assessment of their holdings and it's all for the better. Anyhow, to assume that tax-motivated selling implies bad things about IDTC's prospects is no better than reading tea leaves. Watch next week as the markets return with a vengeance as the tax-selling pressure evaporates into thin air. =============== Steve, you so often show up to sow seeds of doubt at times like these. Yes, free speech is great and I defend your right to post, and so on... But your continued speculation of a potential IDTC earnings shortfall is so irrelevant. As many have posted here before: Very few of us have bought IDTC for next quarter's earnings. Near-term earnings from prepaid phone cards are NOT why I have such a sizeable stake in IDTC. I don't care if they miss a few quarters consensus estimates by a few cents now and then during this stage of the company's evolution. Earnings for a company with this much potential is, to me, functionally irrelevant. I think you are smart enough to know that the investment community (at least the forward-looking ones, not the out-of-touch telecom analysts) sees what a compelling story IDTC is. For you to bring up qualms about IDTC's earnings against the backdrop of AT&T, AOL, MSFT, Liberty, etc. (knowing what I know you know about IDTC) seems truly sinister.