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Strategies & Market Trends : Cents and Sensibility - Kimberly and Friends' Consortium -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bouf who wrote (97242)4/15/2000 11:49:00 AM
From: puborectalis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108040
 
The fear of recurrent inflation will force rates a lot higher here and overseas.......UK rates warning

Bank of England Deputy Governor Mervyn King
has hinted at the possibility of fresh interest
rate rises.

In a speech to the Plymouth Chamber of
Commerce and Industry on Friday night, he
warned that consumer demand could not be
allowed to surge ahead unchecked for too
long.

Mr King also made clear the UK's trade deficit
with the rest of the world could not go on
widening indefinitely.

His comments will heighten expectations
among City analysts that the Bank's Monetary
Policy Committee will seek to slow down the
booming economy by raising rates by a quarter
point next month.

Strong pound

There have been four rises since September
and manufacturers, fearing another rise would
push the pound up even further, have urged
the Bank to leave the cost of borrowing
unchanged.

The strong pound is making it difficult for many
UK companies - and especially those in the car
industry - to compete against overseas rivals.

But Mr King, who is seen by analysts as one of
the Bank's "hawks", warned that delaying
action now would simply mean even bigger rate
rises later.

He said: "The message for policy is that it is
important not to let domestic demand grow too
rapidly for too long. The longer the correction
is left, the sharper the required adjustment will
be.

"The trade deficit
cannot continue to
widen indefinitely.
Hence, at some point
domestic demand will
have to grow at below
its sustainable trend
level rather than
significantly above as it
has done for some
time."

Mr King told his
audience: "Pre-emptive
action to slow
domestic demand growth to a more sustainable
level is the key to avoiding a larger and more
painful adjustment at a later date."

The warning follows a report by the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) on
Wednesday which criticised the Chancellor's
Budget.

The IMF said interest rates would have to rise
to counter the inflationary effects of Gordon
Brown's œ4bn cash injection for public services.

But Mr King made clear in a newspaper
interview that the bank did not believe the
Budget had a "major impact" on inflation.

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WORLD NEWS SUMMARY

See also:

12 Apr 00 | Business
IMF attacks Brown's
Budget

06 Apr 00 | Business
No change in UK rates

30 Mar 00 | Business
Growing business
divide over euro

21 Mar 00 | Business
Inflation rises slightly

09 Mar 00 | Business
UK rates unchanged

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Plymouth Chamber of
Commerce and
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Bank of England

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