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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harvey Allen who wrote (42207)4/15/2000 11:38:00 PM
From: Harvey Allen  Respond to of 74651
 
Here are the numbers for Put Warrants 1999/1998 and 1997/1996.
Seems like my $4 to 5 billion Put back is too low.
I figured the premium too high. It could end up $8 or $10 billion.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Six Months Ended
Dec. 31
1998 1999
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Operations
Net income $ 3,666 $ 4,627
Depreciation and amortization 356 765
Gains on sales (160) (156)
Unearned revenue 2,371 2,638
Recognition of unearned revenue from prior periods (1,707) (2,618)
Other current liabilities 719 61
Accounts receivable (486) (1,030)
Other current assets (24) (149)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net cash from operations 4,735 4,138
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Financing
Common stock issued 614 913
Common stock repurchased (772) (4,852)
Put warrant proceeds 355 472
Preferred stock dividends (14) (13)
Stock option income tax benefits 1,218 2,636
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net cash from (used for) financing 1,401 (844)
-----------------

Six Months Ended
Dec, 31
1996 1997
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATIONS

Net income $ 1,355 $ 1,796
Depreciation and amortization 306 497
Write-off of acquired in-process technologies 0 296
Unearned revenue 648 1,254
Recognition of unearned revenue from prior periods (195) (634)
Other current liabilities 256 297
Accounts receivable (326) (129)
Other current assets (43) (33)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net cash from operations 2,001 3,344
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CASH FLOWS USED FOR FINANCING

Common stock issued 314 328
Common stock repurchased (1,101) (1,596)
Put warrant proceeds 77 325
Preferred stock issued 980 0
Preferred stock dividends 0 (14)
Stock option income tax benefits 226 407
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net cash used for financing 496 (550)



To: Harvey Allen who wrote (42207)4/15/2000 11:42:00 PM
From: werefrog  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74651
 
Harvey: If MSFT misses earnings it will be bloody

Here's a thought:
"I always made the most money when I bought at the point of maximum pessimism." by John Templeton

that is a true statement and even, my, biggest scores have been made by buying on huge downdays, but since msft still has the doj cloud hanging over it, CSCO is the better play right now. JH



To: Harvey Allen who wrote (42207)4/16/2000 2:48:00 AM
From: Dell-icious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
Hello ? They can legally be insider traders. That gives them a major advantage. They knew that the settlement talks were going nowhere. They could have bought back all their puts during the spike before the talks failed and then turned around and sold puts now at the worst part of the downturn.
Further, I am pretty sure the income from Puts was never counted as being part of earnings. So expenses due to buying back shares will not be counted either. It's a stock buyback and they will use their $20 BB of reserves to buy back