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To: Voltaire who wrote (17218)5/2/2000 9:52:00 AM
From: CAtechTrader  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 35685
 
Morning Voltaire...QCOM is continuing to assert the leadership it began last week...we like! I believe a virtuous cycle of news is starting to flow out of San Diego.



To: Voltaire who wrote (17218)5/2/2000 11:32:00 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 35685
 
interview of Grant Interest Rate Observer guest on CNBC
one of most respected and competent journals on earth

main points:
- high productivity figures seen in last couple months are exaggerated and distorted high
- they are distorted high from Y2K effect
- he expects 3.0-3.5% to be proper range of productivity
(higher levels have been seen recently)

left untouched (frustrated me) was any discussion of exaggerated GDP growth figures also
I expect GDP to settle down to 4.0-4.5% over next few months
(higher levels have been seen recently)

the risk of a serious costly Federal Reserve error is rising every single day
evidence is trickling in for a slowing economy
evidence is overwhelming of a deadslow European economy
USDollar is rising slowly, while Euro is cratering
more Fed hikes in USA will strengthen US@ further
(Euro down from $1.17 in spring99 to $0.92 now !!!)

a stronger US$ would cause two things:
- weakening of US exports (which Fed might welcome, slowing economy)
- climax burst in foreign investment in US stock market (their equity gains are amplified by currency gains)

yet Fed talks of hiking, even entertains notion of 50bpt hike

is ATT showing early signals of prolonged death spiral???
/ Jim



To: Voltaire who wrote (17218)5/2/2000 12:19:00 PM
From: mtnlady  Respond to of 35685
 
Tom what occurs end of June that has you so pesimestic about that time period? Perhaps writing cc's for June might be a good idea no?