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To: limtex who wrote (71487)5/4/2000 5:31:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
yep, what to do. eom



To: limtex who wrote (71487)5/4/2000 7:38:00 PM
From: Boplicity  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 152472
 
limtex, This is hard for me to admit, since I always have had faith in what the fed is doing, but I'm beginning to believe what you are saying is correct.

Now if you accept the FED needs to crush economy, and the fact that inflations does in fact appear to be rearing it's ugly head, what are the alternatives to controlling the economy and inflation then rate increases? So many changes are happening at the same time, innovation is occurring at a rapid pace, economies are becoming more global. The FED's tool chest seems to be lacking the necessary tools to control this new economy with out stifling it. Scary to think of it the end result of the fed ruining foundation and slowing the momentum the Internet has given the world economy. I wish they would leave it alone, let it be free and stop playing GOD. IMHO.

Greg



To: limtex who wrote (71487)5/4/2000 8:43:00 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
I nominate Jeff Bezos for next Fed Chairman. Jon. eom.



To: limtex who wrote (71487)5/4/2000 9:59:00 PM
From: jmanvegas  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 152472
 
limtex: You may be correct. But AG is an old line economist thrust into the new paradigm which he doesn't understand which is obvious. I get the feeling in listening to him that he's starting to believe he's an expert in everything. That is on the verge of meglomania and at his age paranoid meglomania. He's an expert on the Internet, an expert on technology, an expert on everything to do with money, and worst - he's a control freak not intent on letting markets do their thing. The markets always adjust naturally and at this stage of the economic cycle, the Fed attempting to control the markets and wealth creation reminds me of the Nixon price controls in the 1970's which failed miserably. Controlling people's behavior, controlling wealth creation, & controlling markets are the not the Fed's charter. AG is redefining that charter and for that he should be ousted and removed. In my over 25 years of investing I've never seen a Fed Chairman so much in the public eye with the whole world groveling at his feet waiting on his every word. And now the other cronies on the FOMC are speaking weekly with the markets awaiting their every word. This is lunacy but that being said, you can't fight the Fed, no way, no how. If he brings down the economy and puts people out of work and puts us into a recession, then he'll go down in infamy and all his previous years at the helm of the Fed will be all but forgotten. In this AG environment, investing in anything is perilous. Bonds, stocks, commodities (except natural gas) - you name it. Real estate is next. Let's not only crush the new economy, let's really crush the old economy. Why don't we really put a hurt on those old world companies and import everything. So what does AG want us to do. Put everything into the money market and sit by. Well now you've got Japan all over again and maybe we're headed that way. And if that happens, the whole world economy will stagnate and go down also. I for one am anti-Fed, anti-Ag, anti-FOMC. I'm for free markets untethered by 74 year old meglomaniacs. There are many who believe AG is the greatest thing since oreo cookies. I've said this before and I'll say it again - AG is just plain lucky to have been the Fed Chairman at the time Reagonomics was taking hold along with the greatest technological era in history. He didn't engineer anything - he didn't contribute one iota to wealth creation. He just happened to be at the right place at the right time. He and the entire FOMC could jump off a cliff and it wouldn't change a thing IMO. Markets rule, markets will always rule, markets will always adjust, and markets are bigger than anyone. In the meantime, if the Fed moves ahead more aggressively than expected, investors will get crushed and the shorts will rule the day. Bernard Baruch - where are you - 1929 deja vu again???

jmanvegas
(I've ranted enough today - the Fed could go ##### themselves)



To: limtex who wrote (71487)5/5/2000 12:18:00 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 152472
 
Bond market has now become influenced as much by the reality of economic data, AND anticipation of FedReserve actions and reactions

personally I believe Greinstein is well aware of:

- his past lousy forecasting record since 1995
- need for gradualism as a security measure for protecting the economy from HIS OWN ERRORS
- the lagged effects of Fed hikes on slowing the economy
- the Y2K phenomenon's uniqueness, which is now fading
- the unstoppable technological revolution

his central focus in my eyes is the labor pool
sure, new laborers have come out of the woodwork in past years
their shortage puts heavy pressure on unit labor costs
but technological mitigating factors are accelerating
(I am trying to sound like Greeniespoonie)
dont underestimate the power of tech to respond and offset labor pressures

Siedman interviewed on CNBC is very steady, very accurate
he says Fed will hike only 25bpt and maintain gradual approach
he implied the Fed does not want to torpedo the economy
he does not believe the low productivity numbers out today
he thinks productivity is actually higher
(govt statisiticians suck, never forget, I will never stop mentioning this)

when the Fed Chairman is such a central topic, then the Fed has intruded & overstepped (simple as that)
his constantly moving focus and targets is his Modus Operandi for evading criticism for exceeding his Fed charter

I nominate Kudlow for Fed Chairman

hey Volt, are you sure those TexasTen$ aint deductible ???
/ JW