To: Michael F. Donadio who wrote (4063 ) 5/6/2000 7:59:00 PM From: pat mudge Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 5853
Some of his recent choices based on technology (eg: Terayon, Globalstar, etc.) may not turn out to be good businesses. But I think he works hard on trying to understand the various technologies, and does a decent job of highlighting his view of "ascendant technologies" for the technologically challenged (like me). I've taken this from the JDSU thread because I think it's accurate. I would add that pin-pointing ascendant technologies and making responsible investment calls are light-years apart. By not addressing a myriad of issues, including valuations, Gilder leaves his followers on the edge of a chasm with no way across. For a fee he shares his over-arching vision, allows early glimpses of his chosen companies, and once readers have taken positions --- metaphorically spread-eagle across the chasm --- he's off the hook. After all, he's a visionary and price is irrelevant. While there's a lot I don't like in this approach --- slavish devotion to any leader or cause sends up red flags --- I become incensed when it turns out the game's been rigged -- that not only doesn't he do price, the trip to the edge of the chasm was based on false information. It's one thing to analyze a company and later discover they've changed, it's quite another to paint a false picture from the outset. Your post and others expressing anger have focused on me and not on the issues. If I've summarized Avanex incorrectly, then provide data to back your claims. And if I've summarized correctly, then analyze why you're angry at me and not the person who painted the false picture initially. If you discover I'm right, then someone you trust has served you wrong and your anger is misdirected. Incidentally, I don't charge $500 a year to read my opinions and if I did, I'd expect to be ripped apart if I abused my subscribers' trust. Pat