To: Hawkmoon who wrote (19173 ) 5/15/2000 12:03:00 AM From: tahoe_bound Respond to of 28311
Yes indeed, nice article. Thoughts. 15 months ago, the CEO for a new builder of homes company was interviewed by Forbes, the article was extremely positive, and the tone was utter disbelief that virtually no one had caught on to the values. A year later, a few things have changed. The p/e for this company has now gone down from 8 to 4. The revenue and earnings growth both continue to be 40% +. Margins are up, backlogs for work still growing. Cash on hand still growing nicely. 2 other things have changed though too since then. The stock price has gone down another 15%, (across the board for the group too) and there has been 0, that is zip, nada, NO new coverage from Wall Street initiated. For 2 of the corporate officers that are bona fide Billionaires, this surely affects them far less than the unfortunate small investors who just don't get it and haven't for years. This in no way means that GNET is an exact duplicate situation, or that this is the future. However, I am here to tell you that having seen and experienced the similarities a few times too many now, the phenomena of fundamentals just not mattering in the least when a) nearly no one cares and b) market conditions totally overwhelm any good news or anything at all for that matter, it is best not to think that good things are guaranteed and "have to happen" just around the corner. When the market is disinterested, there is no telling how long it will persist and what will be the catalyst for change. (Just ask Hasbro investors for another example and I was one last year too, why the market didn't care at all with the great things they were doing at $30 stock price last May such as the Star Wars and Pokemon rollouts, now languishing at $15 for 6 months. Ouch.) Aside: Saw 2 interesting branding things this weekend. On TV saw a Lycos sponsored racing car. Large exposure. At the movie theater, before the previews there are still frame advertisements. Usually from the local realtor, restaurants, car lots or hospitals. Was surprised to see 1 for Earthlink, and another for about.com! Repeating often for captive audiences all week. Probably did not cost much if micro businesses can afford it. Got to give Earth. and about a little credit for their attempts at establishing or reinforcing a base of consciousness.