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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (35273)5/19/2000 10:03:00 AM
From: scott_jiminez  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 70976
 
Brian - perhaps you should exercise significantly more caution when claiming 'cheap' equipment stocks. The relative valuations have been reduced across the board.

For example, I follow Kulicke and Soffa.

Here is your post transposed and adapted for KLIC's earnings estimates. Note that all the numbers are based on consensus estimates:

Using yesterday's close, KLIC's forward PE is now 14.1 (AMAT = 26) using consensus estimates of $3.68 for FY00. Consensus FY01 EPS estimates for KLIC of $5.44 give a forward PE of 9.6 (AMAT = 19) !!!!! (Klic will also experience the inevitable ratcheting up of estimates.)

To reinforce the point, two weeks ago Donald Wennerstrom did a earnings estimate-based valuation study of his population of about 40 equipment stocks. KLIC came out on top as THE MOST UNDERVALUED STOCK IN THE ENTIRE GROUP! Message 13569823 I doubt the situation has change much since then.

While KLIC may not be a gorilla, it currently MUST be one of the cheapest equipment stocks out there.



To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (35273)5/19/2000 11:30:00 AM
From: Tony Viola  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Brian, also, AMAT's fiscal years end a couple of months earlier (October) than most, right? Money in the bank earlier.

I wonder if any analysts are seeing the current boom peaking any time soon, because we're a year plus into it. Based on what some heavy hitters, or long experienced CEOs from companies like Intel, LSI, ADI, and AMAT are saying, we're still in the early innings. Market sucks for now, though.

Tony