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To: John F Beule who wrote (95)5/26/2000 8:59:00 AM
From: John F Beule  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 170
 
From ecompany.com

If only the mobile phone carriers could push more data through the
airwaves at faster speeds, maybe this wireless Internet thing could
finally take off. But to do that, they will need more radio
spectrum. So it's a good thing that two big blocks of spectrum are
set to be auctioned off in July and September. But is it good
enough?

"We are on the verge of a spectrum crisis," warns former FCC
chairman Reed Hundt, author of You Say You Want a Revolution and a
senior adviser to McKinsey, the white-shoe consulting firm. "When
there is both a tremendous demand for spectrum and a tremendous
shortfall," he explains, "the price for spectrum goes sky-high and
innovation goes down because capitalists devote themselves to
acquiring spectrum instead of innovative technology."

If last month's spectrum auctions in Britain are any
indication-they brought an eye-popping $35 billion into the
government's coffers-the upcoming U.S. auctions should be a
blowout. Most of the mobile carriers in the United States,
especially AT&T Wireless and Nextel, need the extra spectrum to
roll out new high-speed wireless Internet services or merely to
relieve congestion on their already overburdened voice networks.
And new players such as Cisco, Global Crossing, Microsoft, and
Qwest might join in the bidding frenzy as well. These companies are
keen to offer new services such as fixed wireless broadband
Internet access or wireless local area networks. In the wireless
world, spectrum is the pipes through which bandwidth flows. And as
we know so well from the wired world: No bandwidth, no business.

But we now find ourselves in the absurd situation in which
companies are willing to spend more on spectrum than they are on
the technology and infrastructure needed to take advantage of that
new spectrum. That brings us back to Hundt's point: Wouldn't it be
better if these companies spent their billions on new-fangled
technologies and services to make all of our lives just a little
zippier instead of into a sinking cost that is the equivalent of
buying really expensive real estate?

"Those prices are created by a government monopoly," rails Hundt.
"You want the spectrum in use; You want it ample, you want old
technologies to be swapped out for new technologies, and you want
competition among spectrum users. When somebody pays an arm and a
leg for spectrum they then become a special-interest lobby against
the auction of any other spectrum. It is just bad policy to have
limited spectrum." No argument here, Hundt, but, uh, didn't you
help create that policy when you headed the FCC? (Wait, he's got an
answer for that: "I was hornswoggled by the other commissioners.")

If you need proof that Hundt is right, look no further than the
so-called C block of spectrum, set to be auctioned July 26. It's
actually going to be reauctioned, as it's a leftover from the PCS
auctions back in 1996, when companies such as NextWave bid so much
for spectrum that they ended up going bankrupt. It's just now
coming back on the block. How's that for sparking innovation?

The second block of spectrum, scheduled to be auctioned in
September, is in the 700-MHz range, and is currently occupied by
broadcasters. The auction was originally scheduled for May, but had
to be postponed because somehow Congress agreed to let the current
occupants keep the spectrum until 2006 -- while at the same time
demanding that the auction be completed by the end of September!
Don't worry, they'll work it out. You can bet that little
grandfather clause is already being renegotiated.

Some experts believe the 700-MHz spectrum is the best that's ever
been released for a slew of technical reasons, and it will be the
key to next-generation wireless Web services. So how do we ensure
that companies will be able to use this precious resource as a
foundation for tomorrow's Internet instead of financially crippling
themselves trying to get it? Well, as you might have suspected,
Hundt has an answer for that too: "All channels from 52 on up
should be freed up for wireless data." Make that a revolution to
go, please.