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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: American Spirit who wrote (52357)5/27/2000 11:02:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99985
 
Well I just wonder what magic are you applying to valuate stocks.

From your post I assume you go by price ...... so if it drops 25% to 30% from the top just buy it .........

earnings ..... who cares .........
free cash flow ........who cares ..........
dividents .........who cares .........
clean balance sheet ....... who cares ..........
financial engineering ........who cares ..........
doctoring earnings ........ who cares .............
shrinking operating profits ....... who cares.......
business replacement cost ............. who cares ........

Hey just buy it worked for the last several years, and do not forget to take a second mortgage on your home and buy stocks with the proceeds, as home prices go up at least 10% a year <GGGGGG>

BWDIK
Haim



To: American Spirit who wrote (52357)5/27/2000 11:18:00 AM
From: Patrice Gigahurtz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
My 2 cents is that they messed up and didn't calculate the flip side of the "wealth effect" and that's the "poor effect". The gradual %-rate increase approach was working but they panicked, fearing they'd be perceived as behind-the-curve. Now where is the trust ? They promised a "gradual approach" and backed away. A misunderstood FMOC isn't that warm-and-fuzzy any more.

Now instead of a liquid stock market the trading is thin. Why ? Because % rates will be further increased if the stock market(s) rally. So what's the incentive to invest in stocks if it results in more %-rate increases ? What's the incentive to invest in bonds if there are further %-rate increases ? How does it make sense to destroy investment in the name of squelching 3% rate inflation and 3.9% unemployment because of some old pre-PC technology & pre-Internet theory that that combo will result in runaway 1980s style inflation ?

Thanks



To: American Spirit who wrote (52357)5/27/2000 4:17:00 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
because you i and everybody knows,once the FED says it's O.K. now,the lotto game will be running the market up once again, too hard and too fast--and every idiot analyst that caused all this will be out there again giving out INSANE and irresponsible price tarkets,and the herd will just be lapping it all up,and buying,buying.If that happens,i will just be there to short the hell out of this market.
the new paradigm is bunk,and always will be.
Suggest you read Shiller's "Irrational Exuberence" max