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To: Eric L who wrote (25441)	5/27/2000 3:09:00 PM
From: gdichaz	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 54805

Eric L: Just so tekboy can see a little interchange between us (g). As always, your points are well taken. And yes, there is very useful info in that particular post by Ruffian. Facts, that is. However, as you suggest, the conclusions and "views" were where I had a problem as you seem to. You and I and others have had the chance to dig into some of the intricacies of all this 3rd gen, and CDMA and GSM alphabet soup and frequencies required and where different countries are, etc. The problem I saw with the article is that it seems so comprehensive and well reasoned that the small deviations from time to time that it had could easily be accepted at face value and that would be dangerous. As an example, the most likely real world path for CDMA in China is 1XRTT (1xMC) and then HDR for data enhancement. This will not happen until sometime late this year and/or early next year, if it happens at all. Although infrastructure build out may well start sooner. Does this mean that CDMA is delayed further - or even (choke) "rejected"[sic.]? The real answer to that is yes and no. Hard to see clearly, let alone describe clearly. And of course, since this is China, only a fool would claim to know exactly what may (or may not) happen. But the bottom line is that even if there is never any so called 2nd gen CDMA rolled out in China, the 3rd will be all one form or other of CDMA. Both China Unicom and China Telecom will adopt one flavor or the other of CDMA whenever the 3rd gen rolls out there. In brief, CDMA (however defined) is likely to be in China toward the end of this year or early next in the form of 1XRTT (1xMC) and most probably HDR - with Korea as a major source (using Qualcomm's chips and paying Qualcomm royalties). GSM will continue to be built out and upgraded with GPRS for data. But at some point those who are using GSM, now or in the next year or two, will migrate to CDMA in some flavor in order to benefit from 3rd gen robustness. I go into this at some length, just to indicate that the situation is complex to put it mildly - more complex than that particular article indicated even with its apparent completeness. Enough. Phew. Best as always. Cha2 PS And I agree with you that China (when - and even if - it happens)is frosting on the cake. It is potentially delicious and heavy frosting, but not the cake itself. PPS And again, since you are the expert in this stuff and I am the learner, please correct and/or comment (as I know you would - smile)